Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 9/26/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (-128) Minnesota (+106)

Target Field is where the Minnesota Twins (75-84) will attempt to beat the Texas Rangers (79-80) on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has Texas at -128 while Minnesota is priced at +106. The betting total is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Trevor Williams and Bailey Ober.

As a team, the Texas Rangers are putting up 4.2 runs per game, which ranks them 25th in MLB. They have 661 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .317. The Rangers have hit 230 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 178 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 637 RBI's as well as 1,271 hits over the course of the season, while their batting average sits at .242. Texas has a slugging rate of .395 and have been called out on strikes 1,363 times, while taking a walk on 521 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.70 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.30. Rangers pitchers have allowed 187 home runs and 701 runs in total (14th in MLB). Texas has surrendered 1,324 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 663 earned runs. The Rangers have a team earned run average of 4.28 for the year (22nd in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,315 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 487 batters and their FIP is 4.14 as a squad for the year.

The Rangers relievers have a save percentage of 68.3% and have entered the game in 148 save situations. They have 43 saves this year and have blown 20 of 63 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 220 runners over the course of the season with 31.4% of them earned a run for their team. Rangers pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 145 times in addition to having 141 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rangers have sent 524 relievers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have notched 83 holds on the campaign (21st in baseball).

The Texas Rangers have 4,183 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,249 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which has them ranked 6th in MLB, and have earned 99 double plays. The Rangers have turned 69.8% of balls in play into outs out of 12,549 innings on the field, which has them sitting 14th in baseball.

Williams has taken the ball for 1,035 frames and is sitting with 856 punch outs so far in his career. His ERA is 4.43 (510 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.373. He has surrendered 1,088 base hits (9.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 333 free passes. Williams (55-65 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.37 while he has gone up against 4,474 batters in the major leagues.

Minnesota is sitting with 184 home runs for the season to go along with 690 runs batted in. They have recorded 250 doubles, while getting a free base 497 times and scoring 721 runs. The Minnesota Twins have recorded a team OBP of .316 in addition to a team batting average of .244 this season. The Twins hold a team slugging percentage of .402 and they are recording 4.53 runs per game (10th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,275 occasions (23rd in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,308 base hits.

The Twins have a WHIP of 1.363 and have a FIP of 4.22 as a team over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.70 (1,355 strikeouts vs 577 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 22nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,343. They have surrendered 181 home runs and they concede 5.02 runs per 9 innings (25th in the league). The Minnesota pitching staff have surrendered 785 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 4.57 (715 earned runs yielded).

They sit at 10th in baseball holding a save percentage of 68.2%, and they have dispatched 529 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this season. Their relievers have come in 177 times in high leverage situations and also on 158 occasions with runners on. With 178 save situations, the Twins have earned 108 holds and also 21 blown saves. Minnesota has called on relievers to take the mound in 66 save opportunities and they have earned 45 saves. Minnesota relievers have an inherited score percentage of 36.4% out of 225 inherited base runners.

The Minnesota Twins have gotten 108 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (11th in the majors). The Twins have accrued 1,209 assists, 72 errors and have amassed 4,226 putouts this season. In 12,678 innings played, the Twins hold a efficiency on defense of 69.3% (22nd in baseball).

So far in his career, Ober has conceded 683 hits and he has 695 strikeouts in 743 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 339 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.146 and a FIP of 4.0. His K/BB ratio is 4.11 and he has gone up against 3,051 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Ober (38-36 career record) has earned a 4.11 ERA and has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Minnesota (+106)

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