Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees Prediction, 5/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees

Date: Tuesday, May 5, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+106) New York (-128)

The Texas Rangers (16-18) are headed to Yankee Stadium on Tuesday where they will meet the New York Yankees (23-11). The line on this matchup has Texas at +106 while New York is at -128. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Jacob deGrom and Elmer Rodriguez.

As a squad, the Texas Rangers are putting up 3.7 runs per contest, which ranks them 28th in the league. They have 127 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .313. The Rangers have tallied 54 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 31 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 121 RBI's and 265 hits this year, and their batting average sits at .235. Texas is slugging .373 and have been called out on strikes 306 times, while drawing a walk on 120 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.86 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.22. Rangers pitchers have given up 39 long balls in addition to 128 runs in total (5th in the league). Texas has conceded 260 base knocks (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 121 earned runs. The Rangers have a team earned run average of 3.66 over the course of the season (5th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 297 batters. They have walked 104 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.04 as a squad on the year.

Rangers bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 29 times as well as having 37 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have accumulated 22 holds on the season (12th in MLB). The Rangers relievers have a save percentage of 69.2% and have stepped onto the mound in 36 save situations. They have earned 9 saves this season and have blown 4 of their 13 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 44 base runners this year with 27.3% of them crossing the plate. The Rangers have dispatched 114 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Rangers have turned 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,679 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 7th in pro baseball. The Texas Rangers have earned 893 putouts on the year, in addition to 258 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which ranks 13th in the majors, and they have turned 21 double plays.

deGrom has thrown 1,570 innings and has totaled 1,891 strikeouts thus far in his career. deGrom (98-66 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 2.52 and he has faced 6,168 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 2.56 (447 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 0.986. He has conceded 1,196 hits (6.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 352 free passes.

The New York Yankees have an on-base percentage of .335 in addition to a team batting average of .241 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 298 occasions (11th in MLB) and have recorded 269 base knocks. New York has knocked in 56 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 170 RBIs. The Yankees hold a team SLG% of .450 and they have an average of 5.29 runs per contest (3rd in MLB). They have hit 58 doubles, while taking a walk 154 times and notching 180 runs.

The New York pitching staff have conceded 115 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 3.02 (101 earned runs given up). They have surrendered 28 HR's and they allow 3.44 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball). The Yankees have a WHIP of 1.122 in addition to having a FIP of 3.46 as a squad this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (297 strikeouts against 95 walks). They are sitting at 2nd in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 243.

With 34 save situations, the Yankees have earned 19 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 14 save opportunities and they have recorded 9 saves. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.1% out of 53 inherited base runners. Their relievers have taken the field 33 times in high leverage situations and on 35 occasions with runners on. They sit at 12th in MLB with a save rate of 64.3%, and they have sent 106 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.

Out of their 2,715 innings played, the Yankees have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.6% (5th in pro baseball). The New York Yankees have gotten 25 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (24th in baseball). The Yankees have recorded 316 assists, 19 errors and have accounted for 905 putouts for the year.

Rodriguez (0-1 career win-loss record) holds a 4.50 ERA while allowing 9.0 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 0.75 and he has faced 20 opposing batters during his MLB career. He has given up a total of 2 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 2.000 and a FIP of 4.4. In his MLB career, Rodriguez has allowed 4 base knocks while totaling 3 K's in 4 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-128)

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