Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 9/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Thursday, September 10, 2026

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+110) Seattle (-132)

The Texas Rangers (71-73) are on their way to T-Mobile Park on Thursday where they will take on the Seattle Mariners (67-77). The line on this matchup has Texas at +110 and Seattle is priced at -132. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Jacob deGrom and Logan Gilbert.

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As a unit, the Texas Rangers are knocking in 4.1 runs per game, which has them at 26th in baseball. They have earned 595 runs and have an OBP of .317. The Rangers have accumulated 211 doubles as a team and have knocked 165 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 575 runs batted in as well as 1,163 base knocks on the campaign, and their team batting average is at .243. Texas owns a slugging percentage of .400 and have struck out 1,215 times, while being walked on 470 occasions.

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The Rangers are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.30 for the year (22nd in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,210 hitters. Rangers pitchers have allowed 174 long balls and 639 runs in total (14th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 440 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.15 as a unit for the year. Texas has conceded 1,217 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) as well as 603 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.75 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.31.

The Rangers have dispatched 470 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 191 runners for the year and 30.4% of those runners ended up scoring. The relief pitchers are sitting with 72 holds on the year (21st in MLB). Rangers bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 127 times in addition to having 133 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 40 saves this season and have missed out on 17 out of their 57 chances to get a save. The Rangers relievers have accumulated a save rate of 70.2% and stepped onto the hill in 131 save situations.

The Texas Rangers have earned 3,787 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,130 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which is 8th in baseball, and have a total of 91 double plays. The Rangers have converted 69.4% of balls hit into play into outs in their 11,361 innings, ranking them 21st in MLB.

deGrom has thrown 1,682 innings and has totaled 2,025 K's in his career. deGrom (106-74 career record) has a FIP of 2.65 while he has faced 6,627 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 2.69 (503 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 0.997. He has surrendered 1,295 base hits (6.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 383 walks.

The Mariners hold a slugging % of .374 and they have an average of 3.95 runs per game (30th in MLB). They have recorded 174 two-baggers, while taking a walk 488 times as well as notching 569 runs. Seattle is sitting with 163 home runs for the season and 547 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,259 occasions (7th in baseball) and have earned a total of 1,093 hits. The Seattle Mariners have compiled an on-base percentage of .310 in addition to a batting average of .229 on the season.

The Mariners have a WHIP of 1.250 and have a FIP of 3.99 as a team this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (1,215 strikeouts against 376 free passes). They rank 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,213. They have allowed 174 HR's and they concede 4.53 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league). The Seattle pitching staff have allowed 640 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.20 (593 earned runs relinquished).

They are ranked 24th in MLB holding a save rate of 57.4%, and they have dispatched 439 relievers onto the diamond for the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 139 times in high leverage situations and also on 104 occasions with runners on. With 128 save situations, the Mariners have accrued 73 holds in addition to 23 blown saves. Seattle has had relief pitchers enter the game in 54 save chances and they have come away with 31 saves. Seattle relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.9% out of 144 inherited runners.

The Seattle Mariners have gotten 116 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in MLB). The Mariners have accrued 1,189 assists, 73 errors and have earned 3,814 putouts this year. In their 11,442 innings played, the Mariners have a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (23rd in the majors).

So far in his pro baseball career, Gilbert has allowed 837 base hits while he has tallied 1,060 strikeouts in 1,000 innings pitched. Gilbert (58-45 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.60 ERA while giving up 7.5 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 400 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.060 and a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 4.75 and he has gone up against 4,038 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Texas (+110)

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