Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 7/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+125) Tampa Bay (-150)

Tropicana Field is the location where the Tampa Bay Rays (62-43) will attempt to defeat the Texas Rangers (53-52) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Rangers at +125 and the Rays are sitting at -150. The over/under is 8.5. The men taking the mound are Cal Quantrill and Griffin Jax.

The Rangers have tallied 155 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 120 baseballs out of the park. Texas has a slugging rate of .404 and have struck out 881 times, while being walked on 336 occasions. As a team, the Texas Rangers are compiling 4.2 runs per contest, which puts them at 20th in the league. They have compiled 427 runs batted in in addition to 869 hits on the season, while their team batting average sits at .247. They have earned a total of 443 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .320.

Get all of our MLB Expert Picks

The Rangers have an ERA of 4.30 on the season (20th in the league), and the staff has struck out 888 batters. Rangers pitchers have allowed 129 home runs in addition to 468 runs in total (15th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 301 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.12 as a team this season. Texas has yielded 873 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 441 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.95 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.27.

Rangers relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 94 times in addition to having 101 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 55 holds on the year (17th in baseball). The Rangers relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 72.1% and have stepped onto the mound in 100 save situations. They have accumulated 31 saves for the year and have not converted 12 of their 43 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 141 base runners this season and 32.6% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Rangers have dispatched 337 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Rangers have turned 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,301 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 13th in baseball. The Texas Rangers have earned a total of 2,767 putouts thus far, as well as 808 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which has them sitting 8th in the majors, and they have turned 65 double plays.

Quantrill has taken the hill for 889 innings and has tallied 654 K's during his MLB career. Quantrill (50-49 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.27 while facing 3,807 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 4.33 (428 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.334. He has surrendered 900 base knocks (9.1 hits per 9 innings) with 286 free passes.

Tampa Bay has 105 long balls this season to go along with 449 runs batted in. They have 154 doubles, while taking a walk 355 times and notching 474 runs. The Tampa Bay Rays have a team OBP of .333 as well as a team batting average of .260 so far this year. The Rays have a team SLG% of .403 and they are recording 4.51 runs per contest (14th in the league). They have been rung up on 755 occasions (30th in MLB) and have recorded 914 hits.

The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.160 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.11 as a squad on the season. They have a ranking of 5th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 806. The Tampa Bay pitching staff have given up 432 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 3.75 (389 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.10 (840 strikeouts against 276 walks). They have surrendered 129 long balls and they surrender 4.17 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league).

Sitting with 135 save situations, the Rays have recorded 80 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. Tampa Bay has called on relievers to take the mound in 55 save opportunities and they have converted 41 saves. Tampa Bay bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 29.4% out of 119 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 98 times in high leverage situations and also on 82 occasions with runners on. They sit at 3rd in the league with a save percentage of 74.5%, and they have dispatched 328 relievers onto the diamond so far this year.

In 8,397 innings played, the Rays have earned a efficiency on defense of 72.1% (2nd in baseball). The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 70 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in pro baseball). The Rays have recorded 840 assists, 62 errors and have notched a total of 2,799 putouts so far this season.

So far in his MLB career, Jax has allowed 379 hits and he has 487 strikeouts in 437 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 195 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.167 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.72 and he has gone up against 1,817 batters during his MLB career. Jax (29-38 career mark) has earned a 4.01 earned run average and has surrendered 7.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Texas (+125)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.