Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/17/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+102) Boston (-122)

Fenway Park is the location where the Boston Red Sox (29-40) will attempt to defeat the Toronto Blue Jays (34-38) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has Toronto at +102 and Boston is priced at -122. The total has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Max Scherzer and Jake Bennett.

Toronto is slugging .388 and have been rung up 526 times, while being walked on 208 occasions. They have recorded 280 runs batted in and 604 hits over the course of the season, while their batting average comes in at .250. The Blue Jays have hit 119 doubles as a team and have knocked 69 baseballs out of the park. They have notched a total of 293 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .315. As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are putting up 4.1 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 23rd in baseball.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.73 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.27. Blue Jays pitchers have yielded 77 home runs in addition to 315 runs in total (15th in the league). Toronto has yielded 577 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 292 earned runs. The Blue Jays hold a team ERA of 4.12 on the campaign (16th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 642 hitters. They have walked 235 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.86 as a squad for the year.

The Blue Jays relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 64.5% and stepped onto the hill in 84 save situations. They have earned 20 saves for the year and have missed out on 11 of their 31 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 112 runners this year with 25.0% of those players crossing home plate. Blue Jays relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 81 times in addition to having 90 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have dispatched 274 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have notched 51 holds this season (4th in baseball).

The Toronto Blue Jays have notched a total of 1,913 putouts on the year, in addition to 613 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which ranks 23rd in professional baseball, and have a total of 52 double plays. The Blue Jays have converted 69.3% of baseballs in play into outs in their 5,739 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 22nd in pro baseball.

Scherzer has taken the ball for 2,985 innings and has tallied 3,503 punch outs in his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.27 (1,084 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.089. He has surrendered 2,460 base hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 790 free passes. Scherzer (222-121 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.22 while going up against 12,089 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

The Boston Red Sox have tallied an on-base percentage of .314 in addition to a team batting average of .246 on the campaign. They have been called out on strikes on 569 instances (22nd in baseball) and have recorded 572 base knocks. Boston is sitting with 58 long balls on the season as well as 267 runs batted in. The Red Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .384 and they are scoring 4.03 runs per game (25th in the league). They have 122 doubles, while getting a free base 196 times and notching 278 runs.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.289 and have a FIP of 3.98 as a staff so far this year. They are sitting at 13th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 573. The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 282 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.91 (264 earned runs conceded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (581 strikeouts against 211 bases on balls). They have conceded 75 dingers and they yield 4.17 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB).

Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.9% out of 85 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 59 times in high leverage situations in addition to 58 occasions with base runners. With 56 save situations, the Red Sox have accumulated 34 holds and 6 blown saves. They rank 7th in MLB with a save rate of 71.4%, and they have dispatched 212 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the year.

In 5,475 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (23rd in MLB). The Boston Red Sox have turned 44 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (19th in the majors). The Red Sox have 583 assists, 34 errors and have earned a total of 1,825 putouts for the year.

Bennett (1-2 career record) has a 5.36 earned run average while surrendering 10.7 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 1.60 and he has gone up against 65 batters so far in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 9 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.523 and having a FIP of 5.3. In his MLB career, Bennett has surrendered 18 base knocks and he has 8 punch outs in 15 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-122)

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