Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/24/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, July 24, 2026

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+106) Boston (-128)

The Toronto Blue Jays (46-56) are hitting the road to Fenway Park on Friday where they will compete against the Boston Red Sox (52-49). The moneyline on this game has the Blue Jays at +106 while the Red Sox are priced at -128. The total is 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Trey Yesavage and Patrick Sandoval.

Toronto has a slugging percentage of .378 and have been called out on strikes 738 times, while being walked on 277 occasions. They have accounted for 385 runs batted in as well as 822 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .241. The Blue Jays have tallied 153 doubles as a squad and have hit 102 balls out of the park. They have racked up 402 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .302. As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are compiling 3.9 runs per game, which has them sitting at 30th in the league.

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The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.18 this season (13th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 904 batters. Blue Jays pitchers have relinquished 113 home runs and also 465 runs in total (18th in the league). They have walked 361 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.02 as a team so far this year. Toronto has conceded 830 base knocks (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 420 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.50 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.32.

Blue Jays pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 111 times as well as having 115 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 64 holds for the season (7th in baseball). The Blue Jays bullpen have a save rate of 69.8% and have come into the game in 110 save situations. They have accumulated 30 saves over the course of the season and have blown 13 of 43 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 163 base runners for the year and 29.4% of those players earned a run for their team. The Blue Jays have sent 376 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year.

The Blue Jays have converted 69.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 8,133 innings on the field, which has them ranked 24th in the majors. The Toronto Blue Jays have accounted for 2,711 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 858 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .981 which ranks 27th in pro baseball, and they have turned 72 double plays.

Yesavage (5-5 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.64 and he has gone up against 397 hitters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 66 base knocks (6.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 48 walks. His ERA is 3.69 (39 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.200. Yesavage has pitched in 95 innings and has tallied 94 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

The Red Sox have a team SLG% of .393 and they are recording 4.22 runs per contest (22nd in MLB). They have recorded 177 two-baggers, while taking a walk 300 times and putting up 426 runs. Boston has hit 96 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 408 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 822 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have recorded 823 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have a team on-base percentage of .314 in addition to a team batting average of .244 on the campaign.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.223 and have a FIP of 3.78 as a unit on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio is 8.60 (857 strikeouts vs 291 bases on balls). They are sitting at 9th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 804. They have given up 102 home runs and they relinquish 3.83 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The Boston pitching staff have yielded 381 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.56 (354 earned runs conceded).

They are ranked 3rd in the league holding a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have sent 312 relievers onto the diamond this year. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 85 times in high leverage situations and also on 82 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 100 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 62 holds and 9 blown saves. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 36 save chances and they have walked away with 27 saves. Boston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 30.5% of 118 inherited base runners.

Out of their 8,058 innings played, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (13th in the majors). The Boston Red Sox have turned 69 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in MLB). The Red Sox have racked up 864 assists, 45 errors and have amassed 2,686 putouts during this campaign.

Sandoval (19-45 win-loss record in his career) holds a 4.03 ERA while allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.26 and he has gone up against 2,376 batters so far in his career. He has surrendered 244 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.398 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. During his MLB career, Sandoval has conceded 524 base knocks while accumulating 539 punch outs in 545 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (+106)

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