Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/26/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, July 26, 2026

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+125) Boston (-145)

The Toronto Blue Jays (47-57) are headed to Fenway Park on Sunday where they will try to defeat the Boston Red Sox (53-49). The line on this matchup has Toronto at +125 while Boston is at -145. The over/under is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Kevin Gausman and Ranger Suarez.

As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are earning 3.9 runs/g, which has them at 30th in baseball. They have tallied 409 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .303. The Blue Jays have recorded 157 doubles as a team and have hit 103 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 392 runs batted in as well as 838 base knocks on the campaign, while their team batting average is .241. Toronto has a slugging % of .378 and have been called out on strikes 755 times, while taking a walk on 283 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Parlay Picks

The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.17 on the season (13th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 923 batters. Blue Jays pitchers have allowed 115 home runs and also 472 total runs (18th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 365 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.01 as a team so far this year. Toronto has allowed 845 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 427 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.53 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.31.

The Blue Jays relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 70.5% and have come into the game in 112 save situations. They have 31 saves for the year and have blown 13 out of their 44 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 165 runners for the season with 29.1% of them earned a run for their team. Blue Jays bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 112 times and also have had 117 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have sent 383 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have a total of 65 holds for the season (6th in baseball).

The Toronto Blue Jays have earned 2,762 putouts for the season, as well as 877 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .981 which is 28th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 72 double plays. The Blue Jays have turned 69.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 8,286 innings, which has them ranked 25th in the majors.

Gausman has taken the ball for 2,026 frames and has accumulated 2,071 K's thus far in his career. His earned run average is 3.86 (868 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.243. He has surrendered 1,949 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 569 free passes. Gausman (116-122 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.80 while he has gone up against 8,477 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Boston Red Sox have tallied a team OBP of .315 and a batting average of .245 this season. They have struck out on 835 instances (24th in baseball) and have earned 834 hits. Boston has hit 98 long balls for the year to go along with 414 runs batted in. The Red Sox have a team slugging % of .395 and they earn 4.24 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have notched 180 doubles, while getting a free base 304 times as well as scoring 432 runs.

The Boston pitching staff have relinquished 385 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 3.56 (358 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 103 homers and they concede 3.83 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.224 with a FIP of 3.78 as a team so far this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.60 (865 strikeouts against 294 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 9th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 813.

They rank 5th in MLB holding a save percentage of 73.7%, and they have sent 316 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this year. Their relievers have taken the field 87 times in high leverage situations in addition to 83 occasions with runners on. With 102 save situations, the Red Sox have 62 holds and 10 blown saves. Boston has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 38 save chances and they have earned 28 saves. Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.0% out of their 120 inherited base runners.

In their 8,139 innings on the field, the Red Sox are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 70.2% (13th in professional baseball). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 69 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (12th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 869 assists, 46 errors and have a tally of 2,713 putouts this year.

Suarez (57-40 record in his career) holds a 3.35 ERA and has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.02 and he has faced 3,573 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 318 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.259 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. During his career, Suarez has given up 808 base knocks and he has 802 K's in 853 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boston (-145) and under 8.5 runs

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.