Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 5/16/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Detroit SportsNet

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-182) Detroit (+150)

The Detroit Tigers (19-25) host the Toronto Blue Jays (19-24) at Comerica Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has Toronto at -182 and Detroit is priced at +150. The total has been set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Spencer Miles and Casey Mize.

Toronto is slugging .375 and have struck out 294 times, while being walked on 129 occasions. They have 173 runs batted in as well as 357 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate is at .246. The Blue Jays have hit 65 doubles as a squad and have hit 40 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 180 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .311. As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are compiling 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in MLB.

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The Blue Jays hold a team earned run average of 4.13 this season (15th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 386 batters. Blue Jays pitchers have yielded 43 long balls and 194 total runs (16th in the league). They have walked 134 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.72 as a unit over the course of the season. Toronto has conceded 364 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and 175 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.88 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.31.

The Blue Jays bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 47.1% and have come into the game in 45 save situations. They have accumulated 8 saves so far this year and have blown 9 of 17 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 73 base runners on the campaign and 23.3% of those players earned a run for their team. Blue Jays relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 53 times in addition to having 50 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have dispatched 161 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have racked up 26 holds over the course of the season (13th in MLB).

The Toronto Blue Jays have a total of 1,145 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 359 assists and 27 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .982 which has them ranked 26th in the majors, and have a total of 34 double plays. The Blue Jays have converted 67.7% of balls in play into outs in their 3,435 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 29th in pro baseball.

Miles has taken the mound for 21 innings and has racked up 18 K's thus far in his career. Miles (1-0 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 2.96 while he has faced 86 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.00 (7 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.095. He has conceded 18 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) with 5 walks.

The Tigers hold a slugging percentage of .389 and they are recording 4.16 runs per game (22nd in MLB). They have notched 82 two-baggers, while getting a free base 168 times and earning 183 runs. Detroit has tallied 40 home runs on the season to go along with 174 RBIs. They have been rung up on 371 occasions (13th in baseball) and have accounted for 354 base knocks. The Detroit Tigers have an on-base percentage of .324 in addition to a team batting average of .242 this year.

The Tigers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.334 and have a FIP of 3.87 as a unit for the season. They are sitting at 19th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 353. The Detroit pitching staff have allowed 193 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 4.07 (172 earned runs yielded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (364 strikeouts vs 154 walks). They have allowed 39 homers and they relinquish 4.57 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball).

With 36 save situations, the Tigers have 17 holds and 9 blown saves. Detroit has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 18 save chances and they have come away with 9 saves. Detroit relievers have an inherited score percentage of 33.3% out of 87 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 36 times in high leverage situations in addition to 54 occasions with base runners. They are currently ranked 26th in MLB holding a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 135 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the year.

In 3,423 innings on the diamond, the Tigers have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.8% (25th in professional baseball). The Detroit Tigers have gotten 38 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in the majors). The Tigers have accrued 366 assists, 26 errors and have a total of 1,141 putouts over the course of the season.

So far in his MLB career, Mize has allowed 472 base hits while accumulating 400 K's in 471 innings pitched. He has conceded 215 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.282 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.03 and he has faced 1,997 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. Mize (25-27 career record) has earned a 4.11 ERA and has surrendered 9.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Toronto (-182)

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