Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 5/17/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Detroit SportsNet

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-182) Detroit (+150)

The Detroit Tigers (19-25) host the Toronto Blue Jays (19-24) at Comerica Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has Toronto at -182 and Detroit is at +150. The total has been set at 9. The men taking the mound are Kevin Gausman and Jack Flaherty.

As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are putting up 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have 180 runs and have an on-base percentage of .311. The Blue Jays have tallied 65 doubles as a team and have knocked 40 balls out of the park. They have tallied 173 runs batted in and 357 base knocks over the course of the season, and their batting average comes in at .246. Toronto has a slugging percentage of .375 and have been called out on strikes 294 times, while drawing a walk on 129 occasions.

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The Blue Jays have compiled a team ERA of 4.13 for the year (15th in the league), and the staff has struck out 386 batters. Blue Jays pitchers have yielded 43 long balls and 194 runs (16th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 134 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.72 as a team this year. Toronto has relinquished 364 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and 175 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.88 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.31.

The Blue Jays relief pitchers have a save percentage of 47.1% and have come into the game in 45 save situations. They have earned 8 saves this season and have blown 9 of their 17 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 73 base runners so far this season and 23.3% of them ended up crossing the plate. Blue Jays relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 53 times in addition to having 50 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have sent 161 relievers to the mound so far this year. The bullpen have tallied 26 holds on the season (13th in MLB).

The Blue Jays have converted 67.7% of balls in play into outs out of 3,435 innings, ranking them 29th in baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have a tally of 1,145 putouts so far this season, in addition to 359 assists and 27 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .982 which has them sitting 26th in the majors, and they have turned 34 double plays.

Gausman has thrown 1,962 innings and has totaled 2,002 strikeouts in his MLB career. Gausman (114-116 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.76 while going up against 8,195 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.82 (832 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.236. He has allowed 1,882 hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 544 walks.

The Detroit Tigers have recorded a team OBP of .324 in addition to a team batting average of .242 on the campaign. They have struck out on 371 instances (13th in MLB) and have 354 base hits. Detroit has 40 home runs this year to go along with 174 RBIs. The Tigers have a SLG% of .389 and they are recording 4.16 runs per contest (22nd in the league). They have tallied 82 two-baggers, while getting a free base 168 times as well as racking up 183 runs.

The Detroit pitching staff have allowed 193 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.07 (172 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 39 long balls and they allow 4.57 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball). The Tigers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.334 and have a FIP of 3.87 as a squad so far this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (364 strikeouts vs 154 bases on balls). They come in at 19th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 353.

Detroit bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 33.3% of 87 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 36 times in high leverage situations in addition to 54 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 36 save situations, the Tigers have compiled 17 holds and 9 blown saves. They are ranked 26th in the league with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 135 relief pitchers to the mound this year.

In 3,423 innings played, the Tigers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (25th in the majors). The Detroit Tigers have gotten 38 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in the majors). The Tigers have recorded 366 assists, 26 errors and have accumulated 1,141 putouts for the season.

Flaherty (63-60 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.87 ERA while conceding 7.6 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.09 and he has gone up against 4,302 opposing hitters during his career. He has conceded 442 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.219 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. So far in his pro baseball career, Flaherty has given up 872 base hits while tallying 1,174 strikeouts in 1,027 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Detroit (+150)

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