Toronto Blue Jays vs Houston Astros Prediction, 8/4/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Houston Astros

Date: Tuesday, August 4, 2026

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-182) Houston (+150)

The Toronto Blue Jays (52-60) are headed to Daikin Park on Tuesday where they will play the Houston Astros (58-55). The odds on this game have the Blue Jays at -182 and the Astros are coming in at +150. The betting total comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Trey Yesavage and Hayden Wesneski.

As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are compiling 3.9 runs per game, which puts them at 30th in baseball. They have accumulated 439 runs scored and hold an OBP of .304. The Blue Jays have tallied 175 doubles as a unit and have knocked 107 balls out of the park. They have tallied 421 RBI's as well as 912 base knocks on the season, and their team batting average is at .243. Toronto has a slugging % of .378 and have been called out on strikes 805 times, while taking a walk on 304 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.50 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.31. Blue Jays pitchers have allowed 118 home runs and 497 runs in total (15th in the league). Toronto has conceded 902 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 448 earned runs. The Blue Jays hold a team ERA of 4.07 so far this season (12th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 990 hitters. They have walked 396 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.93 as a team over the course of the season.

The Blue Jays have dispatched 408 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 177 base runners so far this year with 28.2% of them earned a run for their team. The relief pitchers have notched 72 holds over the course of the season (4th in MLB). Blue Jays relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 120 times and also have had 129 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 34 saves so far this season and have missed out on 13 of their 47 save opportunities. The Blue Jays relievers have recorded a save rate of 72.3% and have stepped onto the mound in 122 save situations.

The Blue Jays have converted 69.1% of balls in play into outs in their 8,916 innings, which has them ranked 24th in baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have a total of 2,972 putouts on the campaign, as well as 951 assists and 73 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .982 which puts them in 28th in MLB, and they have turned 76 double plays.

Yesavage has pitched in 105 innings and is sitting with 107 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Yesavage (6-5 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.62 and he has faced 441 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.68 (43 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.198. He has surrendered 74 base knocks (6.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 52 walks.

Houston has tallied 155 HRs this season as well as 502 RBIs. They have put up 172 doubles, while walking 379 times and putting up 528 runs. The Houston Astros have earned a team OBP of .321 and a batting average of .245 this season. The Astros have a team slugging % of .418 and they score 4.67 runs per game (10th in MLB). They have been rung up on 927 occasions (17th in MLB) and have 936 hits.

The Astros have a WHIP of 1.375 and have a FIP of 4.74 as a squad so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.90 (994 strikeouts against 480 free passes). They sit at 11th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 897. They have relinquished 152 HR's and they concede 4.99 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball). The Houston pitching staff have surrendered 555 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.65 (517 earned runs allowed).

They sit at 1st in MLB with a save percentage of 83.7%, and they have dispatched 363 relievers onto the field for the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 110 times in high leverage situations and on 105 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 98 save situations, the Astros have accrued 54 holds and 7 blown saves. Houston has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 43 save opportunities and they have walked away with 36 saves. Houston relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.8% out of their 157 inherited runners.

In their 9,012 innings played, the Astros hold a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (9th in baseball). The Houston Astros have gotten 87 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in the majors). The Astros have accrued 819 assists, 46 errors and have earned a total of 3,004 putouts this year.

Wesneski (11-16 career record) is the owner of a 4.04 earned run average and has allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.18 and he has gone up against 950 batters thus far in his career. He has given up 102 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.171 and a FIP of 4.0. In his career, Wesneski has surrendered 198 hits while he has tallied 216 K's in 227 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (+150)

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