Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 4/16/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Thursday, April 16, 2026

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Brewers.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+150) Milwaukee (-182)

The Toronto Blue Jays (7-9) are en route to American Family Field on Thursday where they will try to defeat the Milwaukee Brewers (8-8). The moneyline on this contest has Toronto at +150 and Milwaukee is opening at -182. The over/under is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Patrick Corbin and Brandon Sproat.

The Blue Jays have hit 27 doubles as a unit and have smacked 16 balls out of the stadium. Toronto is slugging .388 and have struck out 111 times, while being walked on 55 occasions. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are notching 4.1 runs per outing, which has them at 20th in MLB. They have earned 64 runs batted in and 137 base knocks this season, while their batting average comes in at .248. They have racked up 66 runs while holding a team OBP of .320.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.95 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.35. Blue Jays pitchers have yielded 22 home runs and also 89 runs (27th in baseball). Toronto has given up 136 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) and also 78 earned runs. The Blue Jays hold a team earned run average of 4.79 this season (26th in baseball), and they have rung up 180 hitters. They have walked 61 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.04 as a team this season.

The Blue Jays have dispatched 62 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 30 base runners this year and 33.3% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The relievers have recorded 9 holds over the course of the season (17th in MLB). Blue Jays relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 24 times as well as having 23 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 2 saves for the season and have blown 5 of 7 chances to get a save. The Blue Jays relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 28.6% and have stepped onto the mound in 18 save situations.

The Blue Jays have converted 67.0% of balls in play into outs in their 1,320 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 28th in baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have accounted for 440 putouts this season, as well as 124 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .981 which ranks 22nd in professional baseball, and have a total of 10 double plays.

Corbin has pitched in 2,051 frames and has tallied 1,863 punch outs in his career. His ERA is 4.51 (1,029 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.373. He has allowed 2,185 base knocks (9.6 hits per nine innings) with 631 walks. Corbin (110-142 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.45 while going up against 8,830 hitters in the majors.

Milwaukee has tallied 18 HRs on the year and 84 runs batted in. They have tallied 24 doubles, while taking a walk 82 times as well as recording 87 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers have accumulated an on-base percentage of .343 and a batting average of .240 this year. The Brewers hold a slugging percentage of .393 and they are scoring 5.44 runs per contest (5th in baseball). They have struck out on 139 instances (22nd in the league) and have totaled 129 base knocks.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.387 and have a FIP of 4.14 as a staff for the season. They come in at 12th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 132. The Milwaukee pitching staff have yielded 73 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.37 (69 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.40 (149 strikeouts vs 65 bases on balls). They have conceded 17 dingers and they relinquish 4.63 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball).

They rank 16th in the league with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 52 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 13 times in high leverage situations and on 14 occasions with base runners. With 14 save situations, the Brewers have compiled 8 holds and 2 blown saves. Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 6 save chances and they have converted 4 saves. Milwaukee bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 46.2% out of 26 inherited base runners.

In their 1,278 innings on the field, the Brewers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.3% (24th in baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 11 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .990 (8th in baseball). The Brewers have accrued 144 assists, 6 errors and have notched a total of 426 putouts on the season.

Sproat (0-3 mark in his career) is the owner of a 6.83 ERA and has conceded 9.5 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 1.59 and he has gone up against 134 hitters during his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 23 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.617 and having a FIP of 6.7. During his pro baseball career, Sproat has given up 32 base knocks and he has 27 punch outs in 30 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (+150)

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