Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 5/1/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Friday, May 1, 2026

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-160) Minnesota (+132)

The Toronto Blue Jays (14-16) are headed to Target Field on Friday where they will try to beat the Minnesota Twins (13-18). The moneyline on this game has Toronto at -160 and Minnesota is priced at +132. The total has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Patrick Corbin and Simeon Woods Richardson.

The Blue Jays have hit 53 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 25 balls out of the stadium. Toronto has a slugging rate of .379 and have been called out on strikes 208 times, while being walked on 85 occasions. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 4.0 runs per game, which ranks them 24th in the league. They have accounted for 118 runs batted in as well as 252 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average comes in at .250. They have accumulated 121 runs while holding a team OBP of .312.

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The Blue Jays hold a team ERA of 4.20 on the year (16th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 288 batters. Blue Jays pitchers have given up 33 home runs and also 139 runs (20th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 100 hitters and their FIP is 3.80 as a team on the season. Toronto has surrendered 247 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 125 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.88 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.30.

The Blue Jays relievers have a save rate of 50.0% and stepped onto the hill in 39 save situations. They have 7 saves over the course of the season and have blown 7 out of their 14 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 52 runners for the season and 25.0% of those players crossing home plate. Blue Jays relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 38 times in addition to having 39 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have sent 116 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The bullpen have recorded 23 holds on the year (6th in MLB).

The Toronto Blue Jays have earned a total of 803 putouts this season, as well as 244 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .981 which puts them in 27th in the majors, and they have turned 22 double plays. The Blue Jays have converted 68.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,409 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 26th in MLB.

Corbin has pitched in 2,066 innings and is sitting with 1,876 K's during his pro baseball career. Corbin (110-142 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 4.43 while he has gone up against 8,888 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.50 (1,033 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.371. He has surrendered 2,197 hits (9.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 636 free passes.

Minnesota has a total of 36 home runs for the season as well as 142 runs batted in. They have 37 two-baggers, while getting a free base 130 times and scoring 147 runs. The Minnesota Twins have recorded a team OBP of .327 and a team batting average of .233 for the season. The Twins have a team SLG% of .379 and they are scoring 4.74 runs per game (11th in MLB). They have struck out on 273 occasions (9th in the league) and have 241 base knocks.

The Twins have a WHIP of 1.365 in addition to having a FIP of 3.93 as a unit on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.20 (247 strikeouts against 111 free passes). They are currently ranked 24th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 259. They have surrendered 25 home runs and they relinquish 4.92 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league). The Minnesota pitching staff have surrendered 148 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 4.42 (133 earned runs yielded).

With 26 save situations, the Twins have accrued 17 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. Minnesota has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 9 save opportunities and they have tallied 5 saves. Minnesota relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 37.5% out of 40 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 28 times in high leverage situations and on 28 occasions with runners on. They rank 22nd in MLB holding a save percentage of 55.6%, and they have sent 99 relievers onto the field this season.

In 2,439 innings on the diamond, the Twins have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.5% (24th in the majors). The Minnesota Twins have turned 23 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in the majors). The Twins have racked up 228 assists, 16 errors and are sitting with 813 putouts for the year.

Thus far in his career, Richardson has given up 269 hits while totaling 247 punch outs in 284 frames. He has given up a total of 140 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.341 and a FIP of 4.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.21 and he has gone up against 1,220 hitters thus far in his career. Richardson (12-14 career win-loss record) holds a 4.43 ERA while allowing 8.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (-160)

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