Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 5/3/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-122) Minnesota (+102)

Target Field is the site where the Minnesota Twins (14-18) will take on the Toronto Blue Jays (14-17) on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has Toronto at -122 while Minnesota is coming in at +102. The betting total is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Trey Yesavage and Joe Ryan.

Toronto has a slugging % of .376 and have struck out 210 times, while drawing a walk on 88 occasions. They have accrued 119 RBI's in addition to 258 base knocks for the season, and their batting average is .248. The Blue Jays have hit 53 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 26 balls out of the park. They have earned 122 runs while having a team OBP of .310. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are knocking in 3.9 runs per outing, which is 25th in baseball.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.83 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.30. Blue Jays pitchers have given up 35 home runs in addition to 146 runs in total (20th in the league). Toronto has surrendered 253 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 130 earned runs. The Blue Jays have compiled a team earned run average of 4.24 on the campaign (19th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 294 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 104 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.89 as a team on the campaign.

The Blue Jays relievers have earned a save rate of 50.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 39 save situations. They have accumulated 7 saves this season and have not converted 7 of their 14 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 56 runners so far this year with 25.0% of them ended up crossing the plate. Blue Jays relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 40 times in addition to having 39 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have sent 119 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have recorded 23 holds on the campaign (7th in MLB).

The Toronto Blue Jays have earned a total of 827 putouts so far this season, as well as 247 assists and 22 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .980 which puts them in 27th in baseball, and have a total of 22 double plays. The Blue Jays have transformed 68.3% of balls in play into outs out of 2,481 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 26th in professional baseball.

Yesavage has taken the mound for 19 innings and has accumulated 19 K's so far in his MLB career. Yesavage (2-0 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 2.32 while he has gone up against 82 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.36 (5 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.257. He has conceded 17 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) with 7 free passes.

Minnesota has compiled 38 home runs so far this season and 148 RBIs. They have recorded 38 two-baggers, while taking a walk 134 times as well as scoring 154 runs. The Minnesota Twins have compiled an OBP of .326 in addition to a batting average of .232 for the year. The Twins hold a team slugging % of .380 and they tally 4.81 runs per game (9th in baseball). They have struck out on 279 occasions (9th in baseball) and have recorded 247 base hits.

The Twins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.354 in addition to having a FIP of 3.99 as a staff so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.00 (249 strikeouts against 114 walks). They are currently ranked 22nd in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 265. They have given up 26 HR's and they allow 4.79 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league). The Minnesota pitching staff have conceded 149 runs for the year while having an ERA of 4.31 (134 earned runs yielded).

Minnesota bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.9% of 43 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 30 times in high leverage situations and on 30 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 28 save situations, the Twins have earned 19 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. They are currently ranked 21st in baseball with a save rate of 55.6%, and they have sent 102 relief pitchers onto the field so far this season.

The Minnesota Twins have gotten 24 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in pro baseball). The Twins have 237 assists, 16 errors and have accounted for 840 putouts on the season. Out of their 2,520 innings on the field, the Twins have a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (24th in MLB).

During his MLB career, Ryan has surrendered 565 base knocks and he has 758 K's in 679 innings pitched. He has allowed 286 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.063 and a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.83 and he has faced 2,758 opposing hitters in his career. Ryan (48-39 career record) has a 3.79 ERA and has surrendered 7.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Toronto (-122)

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