Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 5/19/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees

Date: Tuesday, May 19, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+106) New York (-128)

The New York Yankees (28-18) are welcoming the Toronto Blue Jays (20-25) at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has Toronto at +106 while New York is coming in at -128. The over/under is 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Dylan Cease and Will Warren.

The Blue Jays have tallied 70 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 42 baseballs out of the park. Toronto has a slugging rate of .371 and have been called out on strikes 311 times, while being walked on 133 occasions. As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are compiling 4.1 runs per game, which has them sitting at 23rd in baseball. They have accrued 181 RBI's as well as 375 hits on the year, while their average at the plate is at .242. They have 188 runs and hold an OBP of .305.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.91 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.29. Blue Jays pitchers have surrendered 44 long balls in addition to 199 total runs (13th in MLB). Toronto has conceded 384 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) and 180 earned runs. The Blue Jays have compiled a team ERA of 3.96 for the season (13th in baseball), and they have struck out 416 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 143 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.62 as a squad for the season.

The Blue Jays have dispatched 172 relievers to the hill on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 75 base runners this year and 24.0% of those players crossing the plate. The relievers have tallied 26 holds on the year (14th in baseball). Blue Jays relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 55 times as well as having 56 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 9 saves on the year and have blown 9 of 18 save opportunities. The Blue Jays relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 50.0% and have entered the game in 46 save situations.

The Toronto Blue Jays have a total of 1,228 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 386 assists and 29 errors. Their fielding rate is at .982 which is 27th in baseball, and have a total of 36 double plays. The Blue Jays have converted 67.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 3,684 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 28th in pro baseball.

Cease has thrown 1,067 innings and has earned 1,306 strikeouts during his career. His earned run average is 3.81 (452 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.261. He has allowed 895 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) with 451 free passes. Cease (68-59 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.75 while going up against 4,521 batters in the majors.

The New York Yankees have an OBP of .331 as well as a team batting average of .235 for the year. They have struck out on 419 instances (8th in baseball) and have recorded 361 base hits. New York is sitting with 68 home runs on the year as well as 224 RBIs. The Yankees hold a team slugging percentage of .428 and they score 5.04 runs per contest (5th in baseball). They have tallied 79 doubles, while taking a walk 216 times and putting up 237 runs.

The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.168 in addition to having a FIP of 3.47 as a squad so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.80 (408 strikeouts vs 145 free passes). They are currently ranked 5th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 340. They have allowed 37 dingers and they surrender 3.66 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). The New York pitching staff have relinquished 169 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.30 (152 earned runs yielded).

New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 30.2% out of their 86 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 53 times in high leverage situations and on 56 occasions with base runners. With 48 save situations, the Yankees have earned 28 holds and 9 blown saves. They sit at 25th in MLB with a save rate of 52.6%, and they have dispatched 153 relievers to the hill on the year.

In their 3,738 innings on the diamond, the Yankees have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (7th in the majors). The New York Yankees have gotten 34 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in professional baseball). The Yankees have recorded 444 assists, 25 errors and have earned a total of 1,246 putouts for the season.

Warren (14-12 career win-loss record) has a 4.81 earned run average while giving up 9.1 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.98 and he has faced 1,019 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 124 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.383 and having a FIP of 4.7. In his pro baseball career, Warren has surrendered 234 base hits while he has tallied 259 K's in 232 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-128)

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