Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 8/21/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees

Date: Friday, August 21, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+120) New York (-144)

Yankee Stadium is the site where the New York Yankees (71-55) will meet the Toronto Blue Jays (62-66) on Friday. The moneyline on this game has Toronto at +120 while New York is coming in at -144. The betting total comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Spencer Arrighetti and Cam Schlittler.

As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are notching 4.0 runs per outing, which is 28th in MLB. They have earned 508 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .305. The Blue Jays have earned 199 doubles as a squad and have smacked 120 balls out of the park. They have accrued 485 runs batted in in addition to 1,051 hits so far this season, while their team batting average sits at .244. Toronto has a slugging percentage of .377 and have struck out 930 times, while drawing a walk on 352 occasions.

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The Blue Jays have a team earned run average of 3.99 this year (11th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,107 hitters. Blue Jays pitchers have conceded 132 home runs and 561 total runs (17th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 468 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.96 as a team for the year. Toronto has given up 1,027 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 505 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.37 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.31.

The Blue Jays have dispatched 475 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers have inherited 192 runners for the season and 27.1% of them earned a run for their team. The relievers have notched 83 holds this year (7th in baseball). Blue Jays bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 138 times in addition to having 163 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 43 saves for the season and have not converted 15 of their 58 save opportunities. The Blue Jays relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 74.1% and have entered the game in 145 save situations.

The Blue Jays have converted 69.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 10,263 innings, ranking them 15th in professional baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have amassed 3,421 putouts this year, as well as 1,101 assists and 78 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .983 which has them sitting 23rd in baseball, and have earned 87 double plays.

Arrighetti has taken the ball for 268 innings and is sitting with 289 punch outs during his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.67 (139 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.388. He has surrendered 237 base knocks (8.0 hits per nine innings) with 135 walks. Arrighetti (15-23 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.60 while going up against 1,174 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Yankees hold a team slugging % of .407 and they average 4.44 runs per outing (17th in the league). They have 188 two-baggers, while taking a walk 457 times as well as putting up 559 runs. New York has recorded 173 HRs for the season to go along with 532 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,159 instances (5th in the league) and have totaled 955 hits. The New York Yankees have accounted for an on-base percentage of .308 as well as a batting average of .229 on the year.

The New York pitching staff have surrendered 470 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 3.24 (405 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 125 home runs and they relinquish 3.76 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league). The Yankees have a WHIP of 1.175 in addition to having a FIP of 3.67 as a unit so far this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.10 (1,133 strikeouts against 387 walks). They are sitting at 3rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 935.

They rank 19th in baseball holding a save rate of 61.7%, and they have dispatched 425 relievers to the mound on the year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 151 times in high leverage situations in addition to 152 occasions with base runners. With 130 save situations, the Yankees have 69 holds in addition to 23 blown saves. New York has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 60 save opportunities and they have come away with 37 saves. New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 21.5% out of their 219 inherited runners.

In their 10,131 innings on the field, the Yankees are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (6th in MLB). The New York Yankees have turned 97 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (16th in baseball). The Yankees have accrued 1,112 assists, 67 errors and have amassed 3,377 putouts so far this year.

Schlittler (14-9 win-loss mark in his career) has a 2.44 earned run average while giving up 6.7 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 4.20 and he has faced 906 opposing batters thus far in his career. He has surrendered 61 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.031 and a FIP of 2.4. Thus far in his career, Schlittler has given up 167 hits while earning 273 punch outs in 225 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take New York (-144) and under 8 runs

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