Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 8/22/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+106) New York (-128)

The New York Yankees (72-55) host the Toronto Blue Jays (63-66) at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. The line on this contest has the Blue Jays at +106 while the Yankees are opening at -128. The over/under is 8. The starting pitchers will be Dylan Cease and Ryan Weathers.

Toronto has a slugging rate of .379 and have struck out 942 times, while being walked on 355 occasions. They have amassed 490 RBI's and 1,063 base knocks over the course of the season, and their team batting average comes in at .244. The Blue Jays have accumulated 201 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 123 balls out of the park. They have racked up 513 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .306. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are notching 4.0 runs per game, which is 28th in MLB.

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The Blue Jays have an earned run average of 3.96 so far this year (10th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,115 batters. Blue Jays pitchers have yielded 132 home runs and also 562 runs in total (17th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 469 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.95 as a unit so far this season. Toronto has surrendered 1,032 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 506 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.38 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.31.

The Blue Jays have dispatched 477 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 192 base runners on the season with 27.1% of those runners earned a run for their team. The relief pitchers have racked up 83 holds for the year (7th in MLB). Blue Jays bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 138 times in addition to having 163 appearances in high leverage situations. They have 43 saves so far this season and have blown 15 of their 58 chances to save the game. The Blue Jays relief pitchers have a save percentage of 74.1% and have come into the game in 145 save situations.

The Toronto Blue Jays have notched a total of 3,448 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,109 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .983 which ranks 23rd in the majors, and have earned 87 double plays. The Blue Jays have turned 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 10,344 innings on the diamond, ranking them 15th in baseball.

Cease has taken the ball for 1,152 innings and has tallied 1,432 strikeouts during his career. Cease (72-63 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.65 and he has faced 4,857 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.71 (475 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.241. He has given up 941 base hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) and has 489 free passes.

The New York Yankees have accounted for an OBP of .309 and a team batting average of .230 on the season. They have struck out on 1,168 occasions (5th in baseball) and have earned a total of 966 base hits. New York has compiled 175 home runs so far this year as well as 538 runs batted in. The Yankees hold a team slugging % of .408 and they are scoring 4.45 runs per game (17th in the league). They have recorded 189 doubles, while walking 459 times and scoring 565 runs.

The Yankees have a team WHIP of 1.170 in addition to having a FIP of 3.66 as a pitching staff so far this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.10 (1,145 strikeouts against 388 walks). They come in at 3rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 939. They have given up 126 long balls and they relinquish 3.74 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league). The New York pitching staff have surrendered 471 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 3.22 (406 earned runs given up).

They are currently ranked 17th in MLB with a save percentage of 62.3%, and they have sent 426 relievers to the hill for the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 151 times in high leverage situations in addition to 152 occasions with runners on base. With 131 save situations, the Yankees have 69 holds in addition to 23 blown saves. New York has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 61 save opportunities and they have come away with 38 saves. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 21.5% out of their 219 inherited runners.

The New York Yankees have gotten 97 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (16th in pro baseball). The Yankees have 1,117 assists, 67 errors and have 3,404 putouts this season. In their 10,212 innings on the diamond, the Yankees have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (6th in professional baseball).

Weathers (17-30 career win-loss record) has a 4.49 earned run average and has surrendered 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.74 and he has faced 1,763 hitters in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 207 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.323 and a FIP of 4.4. In his career, Weathers has allowed 412 hits while accumulating 375 K's in 415 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Toronto (+106)

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