Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/9/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, August 9, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+106) Philadelphia (-128)

The Toronto Blue Jays (55-62) are on their way to Citizens Bank Park on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Philadelphia Phillies (62-55). The moneyline on this matchup has the Blue Jays at +106 while the Phillies are priced at -128. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Shane Bieber and Jesus Luzardo.

The Blue Jays have earned 182 doubles as a unit and have smacked 112 balls out of the park. Toronto owns a slugging percentage of .377 and have struck out 845 times, while taking a walk on 317 occasions. As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 3.9 runs per game, which ranks them 30th in the league. They have 436 runs batted in in addition to 949 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average is .242. They have earned a total of 456 runs and have an OBP of .303.

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The Blue Jays are sitting with a team ERA of 4.02 for the season (11th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,031 batters. Blue Jays pitchers have conceded 121 long balls and 516 runs (17th in MLB). They have walked 423 hitters and their FIP is 3.93 as a team this season. Toronto has allowed 941 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 463 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.44 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.32.

Blue Jays pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 127 times as well as having 141 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 77 holds over the course of the season (5th in baseball). The Blue Jays relief pitchers have a save rate of 72.5% and have come into the game in 132 save situations. They have 37 saves this season and have blown 14 of their 51 save chances. The relievers have inherited 183 runners for the season and 27.3% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Blue Jays have sent 429 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have earned a total of 3,111 putouts thus far, as well as 1,000 assists and 77 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which has them ranked 27th in professional baseball, and they have turned 79 double plays. The Blue Jays have turned 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 9,333 innings, which has them sitting at 22nd in MLB.

Bieber (69-36 mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.27 and he has faced 3,743 batters in the majors. He has allowed 828 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) with 215 free passes. His ERA is 3.32 (339 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.134. Bieber has taken the hill for 920 innings and has accounted for 1,023 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.

The Phillies have a team slugging percentage of .401 and they are recording 4.41 runs per outing (17th in the league). They have tallied 164 two-baggers, while getting a free base 356 times and scoring 516 runs. Philadelphia has 145 HRs so far this year and 499 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,008 instances (9th in the league) and have recorded 930 hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated an on-base percentage of .307 as well as a batting average of .238 on the year.

The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.308 in addition to having a FIP of 3.83 as a team over the course of the season. They are currently ranked 25th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 999. The Philadelphia pitching staff have relinquished 515 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.20 (482 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.90 (1,140 strikeouts against 352 walks). They have surrendered 141 homers and they concede 4.49 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB).

They are ranked 12th in MLB with a save percentage of 68.2%, and they have dispatched 391 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 103 times in high leverage situations and on 87 occasions with runners on. With 93 save situations, the Phillies have recorded 47 holds and 14 blown saves. Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 44 save chances and they have tallied 30 saves. Philadelphia relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 38.5% out of 122 inherited runners.

In 9,303 innings on the field, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 67.4% (29th in the majors). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 68 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in pro baseball). The Phillies have recorded 956 assists, 60 errors and are sitting with 3,101 putouts on the season.

In his career, Luzardo has given up 744 base knocks and he has 939 strikeouts in 831 innings. He has allowed 375 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.232 and a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.35 and he has faced 3,470 batters so far in his career. Luzardo (51-46 career record) is the owner of a 4.06 earned run average while allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-128) and under 9 runs

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