Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres

Date: Friday, July 10, 2026

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-196) San Diego (+162)

The San Diego Padres (46-46) will play the Toronto Blue Jays (44-49) at Petco Park on Friday. The odds on this game have Toronto at -196 while San Diego is opening at +162. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Shane Bieber and JP Sears.

The Blue Jays have accumulated 145 doubles as a team and have knocked 93 baseballs out of the stadium. Toronto has a slugging percentage of .383 and have struck out 682 times, while being walked on 254 occasions. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are recording 4.0 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 28th in baseball. They have accounted for 360 runs batted in as well as 761 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average is .244. They have 376 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .305.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.52 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30. Blue Jays pitchers have surrendered 104 home runs and 411 runs in total (14th in baseball). Toronto has allowed 741 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 374 earned runs. The Blue Jays have a team earned run average of 4.08 over the course of the season (12th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 825 batters. They have walked 327 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.04 as a squad on the season.

The Blue Jays relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 70.0% and have come into the game in 102 save situations. They have compiled 28 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 12 of 40 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 149 base runners so far this year and 26.8% of them crossing home plate. Blue Jays pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 102 times and also have had 109 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have sent 343 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have tallied 59 holds so far this year (7th in MLB).

The Toronto Blue Jays have a tally of 2,474 putouts on the campaign, as well as 770 assists and 60 errors. Their fielding rate is at .982 which has them sitting 27th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 66 double plays. The Blue Jays have converted 69.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,422 innings, which ranks them 18th in baseball.

Bieber has taken the hill for 896 frames and has racked up 1,004 punch outs during his MLB career. Bieber (66-35 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.27 while he has gone up against 3,638 opposing hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.32 (331 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.125. He has surrendered 806 base knocks (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has 202 walks.

The Padres hold a slugging percentage of .373 and they are scoring 3.93 runs per game (30th in the league). They have put up 137 two-baggers, while walking 302 times as well as putting up 362 runs. San Diego has tallied 96 HRs on the year as well as 354 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 773 occasions (16th in baseball) and have accounted for 681 hits. The San Diego Padres have an OBP of .301 as well as a team batting average of .226 on the campaign.

The Padres have a WHIP of 1.338 in addition to having a FIP of 4.24 as a team on the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.30 (749 strikeouts against 330 bases on balls). They come in at 17th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 757. They have surrendered 100 HR's and they surrender 4.47 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The San Diego pitching staff have yielded 403 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 4.21 (380 earned runs conceded).

With 96 save situations, the Padres have 57 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. San Diego has called on relievers to enter the game in 37 save chances and they have walked away with 27 saves. San Diego relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.6% out of 158 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 102 times in high leverage situations and on 92 occasions with base runners. They rank 7th in baseball with a save rate of 73.0%, and they have dispatched 309 relievers to the hill for the year.

The San Diego Padres have turned 82 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in MLB). The Padres have accrued 809 assists, 34 errors and have notched a total of 2,438 putouts for the year. In their 7,314 innings played, the Padres hold a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (16th in baseball).

Thus far in his career, Sears has given up 561 hits while he has totaled 480 strikeouts in 573 frames. Sears (33-42 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.54 ERA and has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 289 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.272 and having a FIP of 4.5. His K/BB ratio is 2.86 and he has gone up against 2,431 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Toronto (-196)

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