Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/12/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres

Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-152) San Diego (+126)

The Toronto Blue Jays (45-49) are en route to Petco Park on Sunday where they will compete against the San Diego Padres (46-48). The moneyline on this game has Toronto at -152 while San Diego is priced at +126. The over/under is 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Kevin Gausman and German Marquez.

Toronto has a slugging rate of .383 and have struck out 687 times, while taking a walk on 256 occasions. They have accounted for 365 RBI's as well as 770 base knocks over the course of the season, and their team batting average is .244. The Blue Jays have hit 146 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 94 balls out of the park. They have notched a total of 381 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .305. As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are putting up 4.1 runs per game, which has them sitting at 27th in the league.

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The Blue Jays have a team earned run average of 4.07 on the season (12th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 833 hitters. Blue Jays pitchers have surrendered 105 home runs in addition to 414 total runs (13th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 330 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.02 as a team over the course of the season. Toronto has allowed 751 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 377 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.52 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.30.

Blue Jays bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 103 times in addition to having 109 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 62 holds so far this year (5th in the league). The Blue Jays relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 70.7% and have entered the game in 106 save situations. They have accumulated 29 saves this season and have missed out on 12 of their 41 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 150 base runners on the season and 26.7% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Blue Jays have sent 348 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have earned a total of 2,501 putouts so far this season, as well as 782 assists and 60 errors. Their fielding rate is at .982 which ranks 27th in the majors, and they have turned 67 double plays. The Blue Jays have turned 69.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,503 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 18th in the majors.

Gausman has taken the ball for 2,017 innings and has tallied 2,062 strikeouts so far in his career. Gausman (116-121 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.78 while he has gone up against 8,431 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.84 (861 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.239. He has surrendered 1,936 hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) with 564 walks.

The Padres hold a slugging % of .372 and they score 3.89 runs per contest (30th in baseball). They have 138 two-baggers, while walking 308 times and recording 366 runs. San Diego has hit 98 HRs so far this year as well as 358 RBIs. They have struck out on 790 occasions (14th in baseball) and have totaled 694 base knocks. The San Diego Padres have an OBP of .300 in addition to a team batting average of .225 over the course of the season.

The San Diego pitching staff have conceded 411 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.21 (388 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 102 homers and they allow 4.46 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Padres are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.335 and have a FIP of 4.21 as a squad over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.30 (764 strikeouts vs 334 free passes). They are sitting at 19th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 774.

San Diego relievers hold an inherited score rate of 32.1% of 162 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 103 times in high leverage situations and on 95 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 96 save situations, the Padres have amassed 57 holds and also 10 blown saves. They are currently ranked 7th in the league with a save percentage of 73.0%, and they have sent 316 relief pitchers onto the field on the season.

The San Diego Padres have gotten 83 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in pro baseball). The Padres have recorded 822 assists, 34 errors and have accumulated 2,492 putouts on the season. In 7,476 innings on the field, the Padres hold a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (16th in MLB).

In his MLB career, Marquez has conceded 1,211 base knocks and he has 1,093 K's in 1,183 innings. He has allowed a total of 616 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.338 and a FIP of 4.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.94 and he has gone up against 5,068 opposing batters thus far in his career. Marquez (72-74 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 4.69 earned run average and has given up 9.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (-152)

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