Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 7/4/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+110) Seattle (-132)

T-Mobile Park is where the Seattle Mariners (45-43) will play the Toronto Blue Jays (41-46) on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Blue Jays at +110 while the Mariners open at -132. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Shane Bieber and Emerson Hancock.

The Blue Jays have tallied 141 doubles as a squad and have knocked 88 balls out of the stadium. Toronto has a slugging rate of .390 and have been called out on strikes 648 times, while being walked on 242 occasions. As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 4.1 runs per game, which has them at 24th in the league. They have earned 340 runs batted in in addition to 724 base knocks on the season, and their average at the plate is .248. They have accounted for 354 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .310.

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The Blue Jays have a team ERA of 4.08 for the season (12th in the league), and the staff has rung up 769 batters. Blue Jays pitchers have allowed 98 home runs in addition to 383 runs (14th in baseball). They have walked 311 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.07 as a team for the season. Toronto has given up 703 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 351 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.47 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.31.

Blue Jays bullpen pitchers have come into the game with players on base 99 times in addition to having 107 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have 58 holds for the year (4th in the league). The Blue Jays relievers have earned a save rate of 69.2% and have come into the game in 100 save situations. They have compiled 27 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 12 out of their 39 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 144 runners on the season and 25.0% of those runners crossing home plate. The Blue Jays have sent 328 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

The Blue Jays have turned 69.4% of balls in play into outs out of 6,963 innings on the diamond, ranking them 20th in the majors. The Toronto Blue Jays have a tally of 2,321 putouts thus far, as well as 737 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which is 25th in pro baseball, and they have turned 63 double plays.

Bieber (66-34 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.22 while he has faced 3,617 hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 800 hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) with 199 walks. His earned run average is 3.27 (324 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.120. Bieber has taken the ball for 892 innings and is sitting with 1,001 K's so far in his career.

The Seattle Mariners have recorded a team on-base percentage of .313 as well as a team batting average of .232 so far this year. They have struck out on 760 instances (10th in baseball) and have earned a total of 675 base hits. Seattle has tallied 105 HRs over the course of the season as well as 345 runs batted in. The Mariners hold a team SLG% of .381 and they are scoring 4.06 runs per game (26th in MLB). They have 107 two-baggers, while walking 296 times as well as scoring 357 runs.

The Mariners are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.182 in addition to having a FIP of 3.48 as a pitching staff for the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (768 strikeouts vs 222 walks). They sit at 13th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 700. They have surrendered 80 long balls and they allow 3.96 runs per 9 innings (5th in MLB). The Seattle pitching staff have conceded 343 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 3.65 (316 earned runs yielded).

Seattle bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.0% out of 89 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 97 times in high leverage situations and on 64 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 89 save situations, the Mariners have amassed 52 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. They rank 18th in MLB with a save rate of 61.1%, and they have sent 261 bullpen pitchers onto the field this year.

In their 7,020 innings on the field, the Mariners have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (21st in professional baseball). The Seattle Mariners have gotten 80 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in pro baseball). The Mariners have 711 assists, 43 errors and have earned a total of 2,340 putouts for the season.

So far in his MLB career, Hancock has given up 241 base hits while he has tallied 196 punch outs in 252 frames. He has given up 122 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.252 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. His K/BB ratio is 2.61 and he has gone up against 1,060 hitters so far in his MLB career. Hancock (13-13 career mark) is the owner of a 4.35 earned run average while surrendering 8.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (+110)

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