Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 5/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Tuesday, May 5, 2026

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-182) Tampa Bay (+150)

Tropicana Field is the location where the Tampa Bay Rays (21-12) will attempt to defeat the Toronto Blue Jays (16-18) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Blue Jays at -182 while the Rays are sitting at +150. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Kevin Gausman and Drew Rasmussen.

The Blue Jays have tallied 57 doubles as a squad and have hit 33 baseballs out of the park. Toronto is slugging .389 and have been called out on strikes 227 times, while taking a walk on 98 occasions. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are notching 4.2 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 21st in baseball. They have 138 RBI's as well as 289 hits for the season, and their average at the plate is at .251. They have earned 143 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .314.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.88 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.30. Blue Jays pitchers have surrendered 37 home runs in addition to 157 runs (18th in the league). Toronto has relinquished 280 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 142 earned runs. The Blue Jays have a team earned run average of 4.24 so far this season (16th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 320 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 111 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.83 as a team on the year.

The Blue Jays have dispatched 129 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 59 base runners on the season with 25.4% of them crossing home plate. The relief pitchers have tallied 24 holds over the course of the season (10th in the league). Blue Jays bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 42 times in addition to having 40 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 7 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 7 of 14 chances to save the game. The Blue Jays relievers have earned a save rate of 50.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 40 save situations.

The Toronto Blue Jays have accounted for 905 putouts for the season, as well as 266 assists and 23 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .981 which has them sitting 27th in the majors, and have accumulated 24 double plays. The Blue Jays have transformed 68.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,715 innings on the field, which has them sitting 26th in professional baseball.

Gausman has taken the hill for 1,951 innings and has totaled 1,994 K's so far in his career. His ERA is 3.80 (824 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.235. He has given up 1,866 base knocks (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 543 walks. Gausman (114-115 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.74 and he has faced 8,147 batters in the major leagues.

The Tampa Bay Rays have compiled an on-base percentage of .326 in addition to a team batting average of .250 for the year. They have been rung up on 241 instances (29th in MLB) and have tallied 278 base hits. Tampa Bay has accounted for 29 home runs on the season as well as 139 RBIs. The Rays have a slugging percentage of .376 and they score 4.45 runs per contest (15th in the league). They have hit 43 doubles, while walking 112 times as well as notching 147 runs.

The Rays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.195 and have a FIP of 4.19 as a staff for the year. They are currently ranked 3rd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 246. The Tampa Bay pitching staff have given up 140 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 3.76 (124 earned runs given up). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 7.80 (259 strikeouts vs 109 walks). They have relinquished 37 long balls and they yield 4.24 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league).

They rank 4th in baseball with a save rate of 76.5%, and they have dispatched 104 relievers to the mound so far this year. Their relievers have taken the field 39 times in high leverage situations in addition to 30 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 42 save situations, the Rays have amassed 25 holds and also 4 blown saves. Tampa Bay has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 17 save opportunities and they have walked away with 13 saves. Tampa Bay relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.2% of 38 inherited base runners.

The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 18 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .979 (29th in the majors). The Rays have accrued 257 assists, 25 errors and have earned 892 putouts so far this season. In 2,676 innings on the field, the Rays hold a defensive efficiency of 72.9% (1st in baseball).

So far in his career, Rasmussen has surrendered 393 hits and he has 460 strikeouts in 490 innings pitched. Rasmussen (32-18 record in his career) holds a 2.88 ERA while conceding 7.2 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 157 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.054 and a FIP of 2.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.71 and he has faced 1,962 opposing hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+150)

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