Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 7/27/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals

Date: Monday, July 27, 2026

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: Nationals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-130) Washington (+110)

Nationals Park is the location where the Washington Nationals (52-52) will take on the Toronto Blue Jays (47-57) on Monday. The line on this matchup has the Blue Jays at -130 and the Nationals are at +110. The total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Max Scherzer and Andrew Alvarez.

Toronto has a slugging percentage of .378 and have struck out 755 times, while taking a walk on 283 occasions. They have accounted for 392 RBI's and 838 hits on the campaign, while their team batting average is .241. The Blue Jays have earned 157 doubles as a team and have smacked 103 balls out of the park. They have a total of 409 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .303. As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are putting up 3.9 runs per contest, which has them at 30th in MLB.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.53 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.31. Blue Jays pitchers have given up 115 home runs and also 472 runs in total (18th in MLB). Toronto has conceded 845 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 427 earned runs. The Blue Jays hold a team earned run average of 4.17 on the season (13th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 923 hitters. They have walked 365 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.01 as a unit so far this year.

The Blue Jays relievers have a save rate of 70.5% and have entered the game in 112 save situations. They have tallied 31 saves so far this year and have blown 13 out of their 44 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 165 runners for the year with 29.1% of them earned a run for their team. Blue Jays pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 112 times as well as having 117 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have sent 383 relievers to the hill for the season. The relievers have a total of 65 holds over the course of the season (6th in the league).

The Toronto Blue Jays have a tally of 2,762 putouts so far this season, in addition to 877 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .981 which is 28th in baseball, and have accumulated 72 double plays. The Blue Jays have turned 69.0% of balls in play into outs out of their 8,286 innings, which has them sitting 25th in baseball.

Scherzer (222-121 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.22 while he has gone up against 12,089 opposing batters in the majors. He has allowed 2,460 base knocks (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has 790 walks. His earned run average is 3.27 (1,084 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.089. Scherzer has taken the mound for 2,985 innings and has accounted for 3,503 strikeouts in his MLB career.

The Nationals hold a slugging % of .442 and they score 5.47 runs per contest (1st in MLB). They have hit 181 two-baggers, while taking a walk 357 times as well as putting up 569 runs. Washington has accounted for 151 home runs for the season as well as 541 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 865 instances (16th in the league) and have earned a total of 905 hits. The Washington Nationals have accounted for an on-base percentage of .327 in addition to a team batting average of .253 so far this year.

The Nationals have a WHIP of 1.404 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.71 as a staff over the course of the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.00 (823 strikeouts vs 367 bases on balls). They sit at 28th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 940. They have allowed 144 home runs and they relinquish 5.26 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league). The Washington pitching staff have allowed 544 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.77 (494 earned runs yielded).

They are ranked 27th in the league holding a save percentage of 51.8%, and they have sent 331 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 114 times in high leverage situations and also on 103 occasions with runners on base. With 116 save situations, the Nationals have earned 55 holds in addition to 27 blown saves. Washington has called on relievers to enter the game in 56 save chances and they have come away with 29 saves. Washington bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 42.8% out of 159 inherited base runners.

The Washington Nationals have turned 85 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .979 (30th in MLB). The Nationals have racked up 953 assists, 80 errors and have notched a total of 2,795 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 8,385 innings on the diamond, the Nationals have a efficiency on defense of 68.6% (27th in professional baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Alvarez has conceded 71 hits while he has totaled 75 strikeouts in 76 frames. He has conceded 31 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.391 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.14 and he has gone up against 331 opposing batters during his pro baseball career. Alvarez (3-4 career record) has a 3.66 ERA and has allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (-130)

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