Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 7/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals

Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: Nationals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-150) Washington (+125)

The Toronto Blue Jays (48-58) are en route to Nationals Park on Tuesday where they will play the Washington Nationals (54-52). The line on this matchup has Toronto at -150 and Washington is priced at +125. The betting total comes in at 9. The men taking the mound will be Shane Bieber and Cade Cavalli.

The Blue Jays have hit 162 two-baggers as a team and have hit 104 balls out of the stadium. Toronto has a slugging rate of .379 and have been rung up 773 times, while taking a walk on 285 occasions. As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are knocking in 3.9 runs per game, which ranks them 30th in MLB. They have compiled 399 runs batted in in addition to 862 base knocks this year, while their average at the plate is at .243. They have earned a total of 416 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .303.

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The Blue Jays hold a team earned run average of 4.16 for the year (14th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 942 batters. Blue Jays pitchers have allowed 115 home runs and also 478 total runs (17th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 370 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.97 as a squad this season. Toronto has allowed 856 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 433 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.55 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.31.

The Blue Jays relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 70.5% and have stepped onto the mound in 112 save situations. They have recorded 31 saves so far this season and have not converted 13 of their 44 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 167 runners on the campaign and 29.9% of those runners earned a run for their team. Blue Jays relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 113 times as well as having 117 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have dispatched 386 relievers to the mound on the year. The relievers have a total of 65 holds on the campaign (7th in baseball).

The Toronto Blue Jays have a total of 2,813 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 892 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which ranks 27th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 73 double plays. The Blue Jays have turned 69.1% of balls in play into outs in their 8,439 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 24th in baseball.

Bieber has pitched in 913 frames and has 1,017 punch outs in his career. His earned run average is 3.29 (334 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.122. He has allowed 818 hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 207 walks. Bieber (68-35 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.24 while he has faced 3,706 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Nationals have a team slugging percentage of .447 and they average 5.51 runs per contest (1st in baseball). They have put up 189 two-baggers, while walking 367 times as well as putting up 584 runs. Washington has 156 home runs this season to go along with 555 runs batted in. They have struck out on 875 occasions (18th in the league) and have a total of 929 base hits. The Washington Nationals have recorded a team OBP of .329 in addition to a batting average of .255 so far this season.

The Nationals have a team WHIP of 1.401 and have a FIP of 4.73 as a pitching staff on the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.80 (827 strikeouts against 375 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 28th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 955. They have surrendered 146 homers and they give up 5.25 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league). The Washington pitching staff have conceded 554 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 4.78 (504 earned runs given up).

Sitting with 120 save situations, the Nationals have accrued 57 holds in addition to 27 blown saves. Washington has called on relievers to enter the contest in 58 save opportunities and they have recorded 31 saves. Washington bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 42.9% out of 163 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 116 times in high leverage situations and on 105 occasions with runners on. They rank 27th in MLB holding a save rate of 53.4%, and they have dispatched 338 relievers to the mound this year.

In their 8,547 innings on the field, the Nationals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (26th in professional baseball). The Washington Nationals have gotten 86 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .979 (30th in MLB). The Nationals have recorded 971 assists, 80 errors and have notched a total of 2,849 putouts so far this season.

During his pro baseball career, Cavalli has allowed 172 base knocks while totaling 173 punch outs in 163 frames. Cavalli (10-6 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 4.08 earned run average and has given up 9.5 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 74 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.366 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.39 and he has faced 720 hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (-150)

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