Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 6/26/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Friday, June 26, 2026

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+106) Baltimore (-128)

The Washington Nationals (41-40) are en route to Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday where they will try to beat the Baltimore Orioles (38-44). The moneyline on this game has the Nationals at +106 and the Orioles open at -128. The total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Andrew Alvarez and Trevor Rogers.

The Nationals have accounted for 138 doubles as a team and have hit 108 balls out of the stadium. Washington has a slugging % of .425 and have struck out 666 times, while being walked on 268 occasions. As a team, the Washington Nationals are compiling 5.4 runs per game, which puts them at 1st in baseball. They have accounted for 411 runs batted in in addition to 684 hits this season, and their team batting average is at .247. They have a total of 433 runs while having a team OBP of .321.

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The Nationals have a team ERA of 4.69 for the season (26th in the league), and the staff has struck out 628 batters. Nationals pitchers have given up 116 home runs and also 424 runs (29th in baseball). They have walked 284 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.81 as a team for the year. Washington has relinquished 726 hits (9.0 per 9 innings) as well as 379 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.21 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.39.

The Nationals relief pitchers have a save percentage of 51.1% and have stepped onto the mound in 97 save situations. They have recorded 24 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 23 out of their 47 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 119 base runners on the year with 46.2% of them ended up scoring. Nationals bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 80 times and also have had 90 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have sent 262 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The bullpen have notched 45 holds on the year (15th in MLB).

The Nationals have converted 69.1% of balls in play into outs in their 6,549 innings on the diamond, ranking them 23rd in MLB. The Washington Nationals have notched a total of 2,183 putouts on the campaign, as well as 732 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .978 which ranks 30th in the majors, and have a total of 63 double plays.

Alvarez (2-1 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 2.89 and he has faced 235 batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 49 base knocks (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 22 walks. His earned run average is 2.93 (18 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.286. Alvarez has taken the ball for 55 innings and has earned 57 K's during his MLB career.

Baltimore has knocked in 98 HRs over the course of the season as well as 371 runs batted in. They have 128 two-baggers, while getting a free base 306 times and putting up 382 runs. The Baltimore Orioles have earned an on-base percentage of .320 in addition to a batting average of .241 for the year. The Orioles hold a team slugging % of .402 and they average 4.66 runs per game (9th in the league). They have struck out on 749 instances (2nd in MLB) and have tallied 660 hits.

The Orioles have a team WHIP of 1.383 in addition to having a FIP of 4.27 as a staff on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.00 (648 strikeouts vs 289 free passes). They come in at 26th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 714. They have yielded 93 homers and they concede 5.05 runs per 9 innings (24th in baseball). The Baltimore pitching staff have allowed 407 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.43 (357 earned runs relinquished).

They are ranked 16th in MLB holding a save percentage of 63.0%, and they have sent 269 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 76 times in high leverage situations and on 76 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 73 save situations, the Orioles have tallied 45 holds and 10 blown saves. Baltimore has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 27 save opportunities and they have walked away with 17 saves. Baltimore relievers have an inherited score rate of 24.3% out of their 107 inherited runners.

The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 60 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (22nd in pro baseball). The Orioles have recorded 702 assists, 49 errors and have notched a total of 2,177 putouts over the course of the season. In 6,531 innings on the field, the Orioles have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (27th in professional baseball).

Rogers (28-44 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 4.01 ERA while giving up 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.63 and he has faced 2,534 hitters during his MLB career. He has conceded 264 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.307 and a FIP of 3.9. So far in his career, Rogers has surrendered 556 base knocks while he has totaled 575 punch outs in 593 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Washington (+106)

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