Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/29/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Monday, June 29, 2026

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+106) Boston (-128)

The Washington Nationals (42-42) are traveling to Fenway Park on Monday where they will attempt to beat the Boston Red Sox (35-46). The line on this contest has the Nationals at +106 while the Red Sox are sitting at -128. The total is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Miles Mikolas and Ranger Suarez.

As a team, the Washington Nationals are earning 5.3 runs per game, which has them at 2nd in the league. They have notched a total of 443 runs scored and hold an OBP of .319. The Nationals have tallied 144 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 110 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 421 runs batted in and 709 hits on the campaign, while their batting average comes in at .246. Washington is slugging .422 and have been rung up 702 times, while being walked on 272 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Picks

The Nationals have compiled a team earned run average of 4.70 on the season (25th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 662 hitters. Nationals pitchers have yielded 119 long balls in addition to 440 runs in total (29th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 299 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.78 as a team for the year. Washington has given up 755 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) and also 394 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.21 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.40.

The Nationals relievers have a save percentage of 50.0% and have come into the game in 102 save situations. They have tallied 25 saves on the year and have blown 25 out of their 50 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 123 base runners on the season and 47.2% of those runners crossing the plate. Nationals relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 83 times in addition to having 96 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have dispatched 271 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have earned 47 holds on the season (13th in the league).

The Nationals have converted 68.9% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,792 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 25th in MLB. The Washington Nationals have earned 2,264 putouts thus far, as well as 753 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .978 which ranks 30th in professional baseball, and they have turned 64 double plays.

Mikolas has taken the ball for 1,329 innings and has earned 939 K's in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.30 (635 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.221. He has allowed 1,360 base hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) with 263 walks. Mikolas (74-81 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.24 and he has faced 5,545 hitters in the major leagues.

The Boston Red Sox have accounted for an OBP of .313 in addition to a team batting average of .244 this year. They have struck out on 663 occasions (22nd in baseball) and have 662 base hits. Boston has compiled 71 home runs so far this year and 309 RBIs. The Red Sox have a SLG% of .387 and they have an average of 3.99 runs per contest (28th in baseball). They have hit 144 two-baggers, while taking a walk 237 times and racking up 323 runs.

The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.252 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.91 as a staff for the year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.60 (681 strikeouts vs 237 walks). They come in at 12th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 656. They have surrendered 86 dingers and they yield 4.03 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league). The Boston pitching staff have allowed 319 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 3.74 (296 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 69 save situations, the Red Sox have accrued 43 holds and also 8 blown saves. Boston has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 25 save opportunities and they have come away with 17 saves. Boston relievers have an inherited score rate of 30.9% out of 94 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 68 times in high leverage situations and also on 63 occasions with runners on base. They are ranked 10th in the league with a save percentage of 68.0%, and they have dispatched 245 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season.

In their 6,420 innings played, the Red Sox have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.9% (16th in professional baseball). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 48 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in MLB). The Red Sox have 677 assists, 38 errors and have 2,140 putouts over the course of the season.

Suarez (56-40 career mark) has a 3.33 earned run average and has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.98 and he has faced 3,534 batters thus far in his career. He has given up a total of 312 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.258 and having a FIP of 3.3. In his career, Suarez has surrendered 797 base knocks and he has 789 punch outs in 844 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+106)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.