Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+110) Miami (-130)

LoanDepot Park is the site where the Miami Marlins (17-21) will attempt to defeat the Washington Nationals (18-20) on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has Washington at +110 and Miami is at -130. The betting total is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Cade Cavalli and Sandy Alcantara.

As a squad, the Washington Nationals are putting up 5.4 runs per game, which puts them at 4th in the league. They have tallied 205 runs scored and have an OBP of .323. The Nationals have tallied 68 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 42 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 191 runs batted in as well as 316 hits on the campaign, and their average at the plate is at .243. Washington has a slugging rate of .398 and have been rung up 329 times, while drawing a walk on 139 occasions.

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The Nationals hold a team ERA of 4.83 for the year (29th in MLB), and they have rung up 285 batters. Nationals pitchers have relinquished 55 long balls and 215 runs in total (29th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 150 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 5.07 as a team so far this year. Washington has surrendered 342 hits (9.0 per 9 innings) as well as 184 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 1.90 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.43.

Nationals relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 36 times as well as having 38 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have earned 21 holds so far this year (18th in baseball). The Nationals relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 45.0% and stepped onto the hill in 45 save situations. They have 9 saves on the season and have blown 11 of their 20 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 53 base runners so far this year with 47.2% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Nationals have sent 127 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

The Washington Nationals have notched a total of 1,029 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 361 assists and 34 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .976 which ranks 30th in MLB, and have 26 double plays. The Nationals have transformed 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 3,087 innings, which has them sitting 18th in professional baseball.

Cavalli has thrown 87 innings and has totaled 86 punch outs during his MLB career. His ERA is 4.75 (46 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.594. He has given up 105 hits (10.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 34 free passes. Cavalli (4-4 mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.68 and he has gone up against 407 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .374 and they average 4.24 runs per game (19th in the league). They have tallied 58 two-baggers, while taking a walk 134 times as well as putting up 161 runs. Miami has a total of 28 home runs so far this season to go along with 152 RBIs. They have been rung up on 311 occasions (16th in the league) and are sitting with 312 base hits. The Miami Marlins have accounted for an OBP of .328 as well as a team batting average of .248 so far this year.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.263 and have a FIP of 3.83 as a staff over the course of the season. They rank 7th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 282. The Miami pitching staff have given up 167 runs for the season while having an ERA of 4.07 (151 earned runs yielded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (320 strikeouts vs 140 bases on balls). They have given up 31 homers and they yield 4.50 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball).

They sit at 19th in baseball with a save rate of 58.8%, and they have dispatched 116 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the year. Their relievers have taken the field 35 times in high leverage situations in addition to 27 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 40 save situations, the Marlins have recorded 22 holds and also 7 blown saves. Miami has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 17 save chances and they have come away with 10 saves. Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 26.8% out of their 41 inherited base runners.

In 3,012 innings played, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (10th in pro baseball). The Miami Marlins have gotten 24 double plays and have a fielding rate of .980 (28th in baseball). The Marlins have racked up 296 assists, 26 errors and have notched a total of 1,004 putouts this year.

Thus far in his career, Alcantara has conceded 982 hits while he has totaled 967 strikeouts in 1,126 frames. He has given up a total of 459 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.181 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.78 and he has gone up against 4,643 opposing batters during his career. Alcantara (55-69 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.67 ERA while giving up 7.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Washington (+110)

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