Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/9/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+106) Miami (-128)

The Miami Marlins (17-21) will take on the Washington Nationals (18-20) at LoanDepot Park on Saturday. The line on this contest has Washington at +106 and Miami is at -128. The total comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Zack Littell and Janson Junk.

As a team, the Washington Nationals are knocking in 5.4 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have earned a total of 205 runs while having a team OBP of .323. The Nationals have accounted for 68 doubles as a team and have smacked 42 baseballs out of the stadium. They have amassed 191 RBI's in addition to 316 base knocks over the course of the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .243. Washington is slugging .398 and have been called out on strikes 329 times, while taking a walk on 139 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Picks

The Nationals have an earned run average of 4.83 so far this season (29th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 285 batters. Nationals pitchers have allowed 55 home runs in addition to 215 runs in total (29th in the league). They have walked 150 opposing players and their FIP is 5.07 as a unit on the year. Washington has relinquished 342 base knocks (9.0 per 9 innings) as well as 184 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 1.90 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.43.

The Nationals have sent 127 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 53 base runners for the year and 47.2% of those runners crossing home plate. The relief pitchers have tallied 21 holds on the campaign (18th in MLB). Nationals bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 36 times in addition to having 38 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 9 saves on the season and have blown 11 of their 20 chances to get a save. The Nationals relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 45.0% and have come into the game in 45 save situations.

The Nationals have transformed 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs in their 3,087 innings on the field, ranking them 18th in MLB. The Washington Nationals have 1,029 putouts for the season, in addition to 361 assists and 34 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .976 which is 30th in pro baseball, and they have turned 26 double plays.

Littell has taken the ball for 634 frames and has totaled 513 punch outs so far in his career. Littell (35-33 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.00 while he has gone up against 2,664 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.06 (286 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.236. He has surrendered 637 base hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 147 walks.

The Miami Marlins have accounted for an on-base percentage of .328 in addition to a team batting average of .248 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 311 occasions (16th in baseball) and have a total of 312 base knocks. Miami has compiled 28 home runs so far this season as well as 152 RBIs. The Marlins hold a slugging percentage of .374 and they tally 4.24 runs per outing (19th in the league). They have recorded 58 doubles, while taking a walk 134 times as well as scoring 161 runs.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.263 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.83 as a staff so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.60 (320 strikeouts vs 140 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 7th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 282. They have allowed 31 dingers and they concede 4.50 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB). The Miami pitching staff have conceded 167 runs on the season while having an ERA of 4.07 (151 earned runs surrendered).

They are currently ranked 19th in the league holding a save percentage of 58.8%, and they have dispatched 116 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 35 times in high leverage situations and on 27 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 40 save situations, the Marlins have compiled 22 holds and also 7 blown saves. Miami has called on relievers to take the mound in 17 save chances and they have come away with 10 saves. Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 26.8% out of their 41 inherited base runners.

Out of their 3,012 innings on the field, the Marlins have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 70.8% (10th in MLB). The Miami Marlins have gotten 24 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .980 (28th in the majors). The Marlins have recorded 296 assists, 26 errors and have earned 1,004 putouts on the campaign.

Junk (9-10 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.45 ERA while giving up 9.8 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.31 and he has gone up against 791 batters in his MLB career. He has allowed 93 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.255 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. Thus far in his career, Junk has given up 204 hits while he has earned 138 K's in 188 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+106)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.