Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/22/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+106) Miami (-128)

The Miami Marlins (64-64) will try to beat the Washington Nationals (61-68) at LoanDepot Park on Saturday. The odds on this game have Washington at +106 while Miami is coming in at -128. The total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Jake Irvin and Eury Perez.

As a unit, the Washington Nationals are scoring 5.2 runs/g, which ranks them 1st in the league. They have accounted for 676 runs and have an OBP of .325. The Nationals have accumulated 218 two-baggers as a team and have hit 182 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 647 RBI's as well as 1,101 hits this year, and their team batting average is at .249. Washington is slugging .434 and have struck out 1,082 times, while being walked on 446 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.19 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.39. Nationals pitchers have given up 178 long balls and 659 total runs (28th in baseball). Washington has allowed 1,137 hits (8.9 per 9 innings) and 596 earned runs. The Nationals are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.68 on the campaign (27th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 991 hitters. They have walked 452 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.73 as a team so far this year.

The Nationals have dispatched 406 relievers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 201 base runners for the season with 42.8% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The relievers have racked up 64 holds on the campaign (20th in MLB). Nationals relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 129 times and also have had 136 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 33 saves over the course of the season and have blown 32 out of their 65 save opportunities. The Nationals bullpen have recorded a save rate of 50.8% and have come into the game in 134 save situations.

The Washington Nationals have amassed 3,441 putouts thus far, as well as 1,176 assists and 89 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .981 which is 30th in MLB, and they have turned 110 double plays. The Nationals have transformed 69.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 10,323 innings, which ranks them 23rd in the majors.

Irvin has taken the ball for 559 innings and has 451 K's in his career. Irvin (24-41 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.98 and he has faced 2,399 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 5.05 (314 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.343. He has allowed 552 base hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 199 free passes.

Miami has compiled 131 HRs so far this year to go along with 537 runs batted in. They have 202 doubles, while taking a walk 431 times as well as earning 560 runs. The Miami Marlins have compiled a team on-base percentage of .326 as well as a batting average of .250 for the year. The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .402 and they score 4.38 runs per contest (19th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,045 instances (18th in MLB) and have totaled 1,062 base hits.

The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.254 and have a FIP of 4.00 as a unit this year. They come in at 6th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 980. The Miami pitching staff have conceded 546 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 3.96 (493 earned runs yielded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.50 (1,056 strikeouts vs 426 free passes). They have surrendered 128 long balls and they allow 4.38 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).

They are ranked 15th in the league holding a save percentage of 64.4%, and they have sent 408 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 117 times in high leverage situations and also on 107 occasions with base runners. With 116 save situations, the Marlins have compiled 69 holds and 16 blown saves. Miami has had relievers step onto the hill in 45 save opportunities and they have earned 29 saves. Miami relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 23.6% out of their 157 inherited base runners.

In their 10,089 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (10th in MLB). The Miami Marlins have turned 95 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (29th in baseball). The Marlins have recorded 1,058 assists, 82 errors and have 3,363 putouts during this campaign.

So far in his career, Perez has allowed 227 base knocks while he has totaled 346 K's in 308 innings pitched. He has conceded 121 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.099 and having a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.09 and he has faced 1,253 hitters during his career. Perez (18-21 career mark) has a 3.53 ERA and has conceded 6.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Washington (+106)

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