Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/23/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+106) Miami (-128)

The Washington Nationals (61-68) are on their way to LoanDepot Park on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Miami Marlins (64-64). The moneyline on this contest has the Nationals at +106 and the Marlins are priced at -128. The over/under is 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Jackson Kent and Janson Junk.

The Nationals have tallied 218 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 182 baseballs out of the park. Washington has a slugging % of .434 and have struck out 1,082 times, while being walked on 446 occasions. As a team, the Washington Nationals are recording 5.2 runs/g, which has them sitting at 1st in the league. They have 647 runs batted in and 1,101 hits so far this year, and their team batting average comes in at .249. They have accumulated 676 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .325.

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The Nationals hold a team ERA of 4.68 over the course of the season (27th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 991 batters. Nationals pitchers have relinquished 178 home runs in addition to 659 total runs (28th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 452 batters and their FIP is 4.73 as a team so far this year. Washington has relinquished 1,137 hits (8.9 per 9 innings) and 596 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.19 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.39.

Nationals relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 129 times in addition to having 136 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 64 holds on the season (20th in MLB). The Nationals relievers have compiled a save rate of 50.8% and have stepped onto the mound in 134 save situations. They have recorded 33 saves for the year and have blown 32 out of their 65 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 201 runners on the campaign and 42.8% of those players crossing the plate. The Nationals have sent 406 relievers to the hill for the season.

The Washington Nationals are sitting with 3,441 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,176 assists and 89 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .981 which puts them in 30th in baseball, and they have turned 110 double plays. The Nationals have transformed 69.3% of balls in play into outs in their 10,323 innings, which has them ranked 23rd in the majors.

Suarez has taken the hill for 0 innings and has earned 0 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 0.00 (0 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 0.000. He has conceded 0 base knocks (0.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 0 free passes. Suarez (0-0 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 0.00 while he has gone up against 0 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Miami Marlins have a team OBP of .326 and a batting average of .250 so far this year. They have struck out on 1,045 occasions (18th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,062 hits. Miami is sitting with 131 home runs on the season to go along with 537 RBIs. The Marlins have a team SLG% of .402 and they have an average of 4.38 runs per outing (19th in baseball). They have put up 202 two-baggers, while taking a walk 431 times as well as putting up 560 runs.

The Marlins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.254 in addition to having a FIP of 4.00 as a squad on the season. They are currently ranked 6th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 980. The Miami pitching staff have given up 546 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 3.96 (493 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.50 (1,056 strikeouts against 426 free passes). They have yielded 128 dingers and they surrender 4.38 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball).

Miami relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 23.6% out of their 157 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 117 times in high leverage situations in addition to 107 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 116 save situations, the Marlins have earned 69 holds and also 16 blown saves. They are ranked 15th in the league with a save rate of 64.4%, and they have sent 408 bullpen pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 95 double plays and have a fielding rate of .982 (29th in the majors). The Marlins have accrued 1,058 assists, 82 errors and have notched a total of 3,363 putouts so far this season. In 10,089 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have a efficiency on defense of 70.6% (10th in the majors).

Junk (13-15 career win-loss mark) holds a 4.68 earned run average and has conceded 10.1 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.54 and he has gone up against 1,032 opposing hitters in his MLB career. He has surrendered 126 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.329 and having a FIP of 4.6. In his career, Junk has surrendered 272 hits while he has tallied 177 punch outs in 242 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Miami (-128) and under 9 runs

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