Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 4/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Brewers.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+125) Milwaukee (-145)

American Family Field is the site where the Milwaukee Brewers (8-4) will take on the Washington Nationals (4-8) on Saturday. The line on this matchup has Washington at +125 and Milwaukee is priced at -145. The total has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Foster Griffin and Kyle Harrison.

As a squad, the Washington Nationals are recording 5.9 runs per contest, which has them at 3rd in baseball. They have a total of 71 runs scored while having a team OBP of .339. The Nationals have hit 18 two-baggers as a team and have hit 16 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 66 RBI's as well as 113 base knocks this year, and their batting average comes in at .266. Washington has a slugging rate of .431 and have been called out on strikes 99 times, while drawing a walk on 44 occasions.

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Their K/BB ratio is 1.53 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.65. Nationals pitchers have given up 24 long balls and also 78 total runs (30th in baseball). Washington has given up 117 base knocks (9.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 72 earned runs. The Nationals have a team earned run average of 6.06 so far this season (30th in the league), and the staff has rung up 92 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 60 hitters and their FIP sits at 6.26 as a squad on the year.

The Nationals relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 20.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 14 save situations. They have recorded 1 save so far this year and have blown 4 of their 5 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 20 base runners this season and 45.0% of those runners earned a run for their team. Nationals pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 12 times and also have had 7 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have sent 42 relievers to the hill this season. The bullpen have a total of 6 holds this year (23rd in MLB).

The Washington Nationals have a tally of 321 putouts this season, as well as 108 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .973 which puts them in 28th in MLB, and have accumulated 10 double plays. The Nationals have turned 68.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 963 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 21st in baseball.

Griffin has thrown 18 innings and has accounted for 16 punch outs during his career. Griffin (2-0 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.43 and he has faced 81 batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.50 (9 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.389. He has allowed 17 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 8 walks.

The Milwaukee Brewers are sitting with a team OBP of .356 in addition to a batting average of .253 over the course of the season. They have been rung up on 108 instances (13th in baseball) and have 101 base knocks. Milwaukee has accounted for 10 home runs this season as well as 67 RBIs. The Brewers hold a slugging % of .395 and they have an average of 5.83 runs per game (4th in baseball). They have notched 23 doubles, while walking 62 times as well as earning 70 runs.

The Brewers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.343 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.24 as a team for the year. They rank 9th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 87. The Milwaukee pitching staff have surrendered 46 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 3.77 (44 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 10.60 (124 strikeouts against 54 walks). They have allowed 14 homers and they relinquish 3.94 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball).

Milwaukee relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 50.0% of 16 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 8 times in high leverage situations and on 8 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 12 save situations, the Brewers have 8 holds and 0 blown saves. They sit at 3rd in baseball holding a save rate of 100.0%, and they have dispatched 40 relievers to the hill for the season.

In 945 innings played, the Brewers hold a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (10th in MLB). The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 7 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .998 (1st in professional baseball). The Brewers have accrued 94 assists, 1 error and have a total of 315 putouts so far this year.

During his pro baseball career, Harrison has allowed 196 base hits while tallying 205 strikeouts in 204 frames. He has conceded 98 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.302 and having a FIP of 4.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.93 and he has faced 876 batters during his pro baseball career. Harrison (10-9 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.32 ERA while allowing 8.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Washington (+125)

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