Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, April 28, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+120) New York (-144)

The New York Mets (9-19) host the Washington Nationals (13-16) at Citi Field on Tuesday. The line on this contest has Washington at +120 and New York opens at -144. The betting total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Zack Littell and Clay Holmes.

The Nationals have tallied 47 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 34 balls out of the park. Washington is slugging .395 and have struck out 244 times, while drawing a walk on 109 occasions. As a team, the Washington Nationals are scoring 5.4 runs per contest, which is 3rd in the league. They have amassed 143 RBI's as well as 245 base knocks this season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .243. They have accounted for 156 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .325.

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The Nationals have an ERA of 5.24 on the season (29th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 230 batters. Nationals pitchers have allowed 48 home runs and also 171 runs in total (29th in the league). They have walked 118 opposing players and their FIP sits at 5.31 as a squad this year. Washington has conceded 272 hits (9.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 153 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.95 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.48.

The Nationals relievers have recorded a save percentage of 37.5% and have come into the game in 35 save situations. They have compiled 6 saves this season and have blown 10 of their 16 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 47 base runners for the year with 48.9% of them ended up crossing the plate. Nationals pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 32 times in addition to having 33 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have dispatched 101 relievers to the mound on the season. The bullpen have 15 holds over the course of the season (19th in the league).

The Nationals have transformed 68.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,367 innings on the field, ranking them 23rd in the majors. The Washington Nationals have a tally of 789 putouts this season, as well as 275 assists and 27 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .975 which is 29th in MLB, and have earned 22 double plays.

Littell has taken the hill for 627 innings and has tallied 511 K's so far in his career. His ERA is 4.03 (281 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.234. He has conceded 631 base knocks (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has 143 walks. Littell (34-32 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.97 while he has gone up against 2,631 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The Mets have a team slugging % of .337 and they score 3.29 runs per contest (30th in MLB). They have 38 doubles, while getting a free base 81 times and scoring 92 runs. New York has knocked in 20 home runs for the season to go along with 86 RBIs. They have been rung up on 224 occasions (22nd in MLB) and have a total of 212 hits. The New York Mets have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .288 in addition to a team batting average of .226 over the course of the season.

The New York pitching staff have relinquished 122 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.01 (112 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 26 dingers and they allow 4.37 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.294 with a FIP of 3.76 as a staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.10 (254 strikeouts vs 101 walks). They rank 14th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 224.

They rank 30th in MLB holding a save rate of 33.3%, and they have dispatched 81 bullpen pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. Their relievers have taken the field 35 times in high leverage situations and also on 29 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 13 save situations, the Mets have accumulated 7 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. New York has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 6 save chances and they have earned 2 saves. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 40.0% of 40 inherited runners.

In their 2,262 innings played, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (18th in professional baseball). The New York Mets have turned 17 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in the majors). The Mets have accrued 242 assists, 14 errors and have notched a total of 754 putouts this year.

Thus far in his career, Holmes has surrendered 457 base hits while earning 508 strikeouts in 533 frames. He has conceded 211 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.287 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.22 and he has gone up against 2,288 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Holmes (38-32 career win-loss mark) holds a 3.56 earned run average and has allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Washington (+120)

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