Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/14/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, August 14, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+106) New York (-128)

The Washington Nationals (59-63) are on their way to Citi Field on Friday where they will compete against the New York Mets (53-69). The moneyline on this matchup has Washington at +106 while New York is at -128. The total has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Andrew Alvarez and Robert Stock.

As a squad, the Washington Nationals are scoring 5.4 runs per outing, which ranks them 1st in the league. They are sitting with 655 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .328. The Nationals have accrued 212 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 176 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 626 runs batted in as well as 1,056 hits so far this season, while their average at the plate sits at .252. Washington is slugging .441 and have struck out 1,014 times, while being walked on 429 occasions.

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The Nationals have an earned run average of 4.76 for the season (27th in the league), and they have rung up 922 batters. Nationals pitchers have yielded 172 home runs and also 639 runs in total (28th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 428 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.80 as a team this season. Washington has given up 1,090 hits (9.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 576 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.15 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.39.

Nationals pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 125 times in addition to having 132 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 61 holds so far this season (19th in MLB). The Nationals bullpen have compiled a save rate of 51.6% and have entered the game in 130 save situations. They have earned 33 saves so far this season and have not converted 31 of their 64 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 193 runners this year with 43.5% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Nationals have dispatched 388 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

The Washington Nationals have earned 3,266 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,135 assists and 89 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .980 which puts them in 30th in professional baseball, and they have turned 104 double plays. The Nationals have converted 69.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 9,798 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 25th in baseball.

Alvarez (3-4 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.37 and he has faced 394 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 81 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has 42 free passes. His earned run average is 3.42 (35 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.334. Alvarez has taken the mound for 92 frames and has earned 85 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

New York has hit 148 home runs this season as well as 487 RBIs. They have 152 doubles, while walking 392 times as well as recording 510 runs. The New York Mets are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .306 and a team batting average of .235 so far this season. The Mets have a team slugging % of .388 and they are recording 4.18 runs per contest (22nd in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,037 occasions (11th in baseball) and have tallied 966 base hits.

The New York pitching staff have allowed 557 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 4.14 (499 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 132 HR's and they concede 4.62 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.309 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.00 as a staff this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.10 (1,095 strikeouts vs 434 bases on balls). They come in at 14th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 986.

New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 29.5% out of 156 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 121 times in high leverage situations in addition to 113 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 83 save situations, the Mets have 47 holds and 14 blown saves. They rank 19th in baseball holding a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 371 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

Out of their 9,771 innings on the diamond, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (21st in professional baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 75 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in MLB). The Mets have racked up 970 assists, 79 errors and have a tally of 3,257 putouts during this campaign.

In his MLB career, Stock has surrendered 93 base hits and he has 85 strikeouts in 83 innings pitched. Stock (2-6 career record) is the owner of a 5.42 ERA while surrendering 10.1 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 50 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.709 and a FIP of 5.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.73 and he has gone up against 385 batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-128)

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