Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/16/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+126) New York (-152)

The Washington Nationals (60-63) are hitting the road to Citi Field on Sunday where they will meet the New York Mets (53-69). The odds on this game have Washington at +126 while New York is coming in at -152. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Jake Irvin and Christian Scott.

Washington has a slugging % of .441 and have struck out 1,022 times, while taking a walk on 430 occasions. They have 633 RBI's as well as 1,066 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .252. The Nationals have earned 213 doubles as a team and have knocked 177 balls out of the stadium. They have 662 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .328. As a unit, the Washington Nationals are knocking in 5.4 runs per outing, which is 1st in MLB.

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The Nationals have compiled a team earned run average of 4.72 for the year (27th in MLB), and they have struck out 933 batters. Nationals pitchers have surrendered 172 home runs and also 639 runs (28th in baseball). They have walked 430 hitters and their FIP is 4.77 as a unit on the campaign. Washington has given up 1,091 base hits (8.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 576 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.17 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.39.

The Nationals have sent 389 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 193 runners on the year with 43.5% of those players crossing home plate. The relief pitchers have earned 61 holds for the season (19th in the league). Nationals pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 125 times as well as having 132 appearances in high leverage situations. They have recorded 33 saves on the year and have not converted 31 of their 64 save opportunities. The Nationals bullpen have a save percentage of 51.6% and have come into the game in 130 save situations.

The Nationals have turned 69.4% of balls hit into play into outs in their 9,879 innings on the field, ranking them 20th in the majors. The Washington Nationals have notched a total of 3,293 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,142 assists and 89 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .980 which ranks 30th in MLB, and they have turned 105 double plays.

Irvin has taken the mound for 553 frames and is sitting with 445 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Irvin (24-40 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 4.97 while facing 2,372 batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 5.04 (310 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.337. He has given up 544 base hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) with 196 walks.

New York has knocked in 148 home runs this year as well as 487 runs batted in. They have 152 doubles, while getting a free base 392 times and recording 510 runs. The New York Mets are sitting with a team OBP of .306 and a batting average of .235 on the season. The Mets have a team slugging % of .388 and they score 4.18 runs per contest (22nd in baseball). They have struck out on 1,037 instances (14th in baseball) and have notched a total of 966 base hits.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.309 and have a FIP of 4.00 as a team this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.10 (1,095 strikeouts against 434 bases on balls). They sit at 13th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 986. They have conceded 132 homers and they allow 4.62 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). The New York pitching staff have yielded 557 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 4.14 (499 earned runs surrendered).

They sit at 19th in baseball with a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have sent 371 bullpen pitchers onto the field this year. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 121 times in high leverage situations and on 113 occasions with runners on base. With 83 save situations, the Mets have accrued 47 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. New York has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 35 save opportunities and they have tallied 21 saves. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 29.5% of 156 inherited runners.

The New York Mets have turned 75 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in MLB). The Mets have accrued 970 assists, 79 errors and have a tally of 3,257 putouts during this campaign. In their 9,771 innings played, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (22nd in pro baseball).

Scott (3-6 career record) has a 3.88 ERA while allowing 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.04 and he has faced 537 hitters in his MLB career. He has allowed 54 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.270 and a FIP of 3.8. In his career, Scott has surrendered 114 base knocks and he has 137 K's in 125 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+126)

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