Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/3/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Monday, August 3, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+106) Philadelphia (-128)

The Washington Nationals (55-56) are headed to Citizens Bank Park on Monday where they will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (57-53). The line on this contest has Washington at +106 and Philadelphia opens at -128. The betting total is set at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Zack Littell and Aaron Nola.

The Nationals have earned 196 two-baggers as a team and have hit 164 balls out of the park. Washington is slugging .446 and have struck out 913 times, while drawing a walk on 392 occasions. As a unit, the Washington Nationals are scoring 5.4 runs/g, which is 1st in the league. They have compiled 573 runs batted in in addition to 967 hits for the season, and their team batting average is .253. They have tallied 602 runs and hold an OBP of .329.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.18 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.40. Nationals pitchers have given up 153 home runs and 579 runs in total (28th in MLB). Washington has surrendered 998 base hits (9.1 per 9 innings) as well as 527 earned runs. The Nationals have an earned run average of 4.78 on the year (28th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 851 hitters. They have walked 391 opposing players and their FIP is 4.75 as a unit this season.

The Nationals relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 54.2% and have come into the game in 122 save situations. They have 32 saves so far this season and have blown 27 of their 59 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 173 base runners this season with 42.2% of them crossing the plate. Nationals relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 112 times and also have had 121 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have dispatched 353 relievers to the mound on the season. The relievers have a total of 58 holds this year (17th in the league).

The Washington Nationals are sitting with 2,978 putouts this season, as well as 1,021 assists and 85 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .979 which ranks 30th in baseball, and have a total of 91 double plays. The Nationals have converted 68.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 8,934 innings, which ranks them 26th in pro baseball.

Littell has pitched in 707 innings and has totaled 564 strikeouts during his career. Littell (41-37 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.99 while he has faced 2,968 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.05 (318 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.236. He has surrendered 705 base hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) with 169 free passes.

Philadelphia has accumulated 140 long balls on the year as well as 461 runs batted in. They have recorded 148 doubles, while getting a free base 321 times and scoring 477 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated an OBP of .303 in addition to a team batting average of .236 on the campaign. The Phillies hold a team slugging % of .399 and they are scoring 4.34 runs per contest (18th in MLB). They have struck out on 973 instances (7th in the league) and are sitting with 869 base hits.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 494 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 4.29 (463 earned runs conceded). They have relinquished 135 long balls and they surrender 4.57 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.316 and have a FIP of 3.86 as a staff so far this year. Their K/BB ratio is 9.90 (1,070 strikeouts vs 325 walks). They rank 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 954.

They are ranked 11th in MLB holding a save percentage of 69.0%, and they have dispatched 366 relievers onto the field this year. Their relief pitchers have come in 95 times in high leverage situations in addition to 82 occasions with runners on base. With 88 save situations, the Phillies have tallied 44 holds and 13 blown saves. Philadelphia has had relievers take the mound in 42 save opportunities and they have walked away with 29 saves. Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.6% out of 117 inherited base runners.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 64 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in MLB). The Phillies have recorded 902 assists, 59 errors and have a tally of 2,918 putouts this year. In their 8,754 innings played, the Phillies have earned a defensive efficiency of 67.1% (29th in MLB).

Nola (112-98 career mark) has earned a 3.94 earned run average while giving up 8.1 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 4.08 and he has gone up against 7,537 batters in his career. He has allowed 801 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.168 and having a FIP of 3.9. So far in his pro baseball career, Nola has allowed 1,648 hits while earning 1,992 K's in 1,829 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Washington (+106)

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