Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 9/7/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres

Date: Monday, September 7, 2026

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+132) San Diego (-160)

The Washington Nationals (67-77) are en route to Petco Park on Monday where they will play the San Diego Padres (74-68). The moneyline on this game has the Nationals at +132 and the Padres are sitting at -160. The total comes in at 9. The starting pitchers will be Will Dion and Randy Vasquez.

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As a squad, the Washington Nationals are earning 5.2 runs per contest, which is 2nd in the league. They have tallied 743 runs and hold an OBP of .325. The Nationals have accounted for 251 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 193 balls out of the stadium. They have accrued 704 runs batted in in addition to 1,222 base knocks on the year, while their team batting average is at .249. Washington is slugging .429 and have struck out 1,202 times, while being walked on 503 occasions.

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The Nationals have a team ERA of 4.70 so far this season (27th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,125 hitters. Nationals pitchers have allowed 196 home runs and also 732 runs in total (28th in baseball). They have walked 524 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.74 as a squad this season. Washington has given up 1,249 base knocks (8.8 per 9 innings) and 668 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.15 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.39.

The Nationals have sent 452 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relievers have inherited 234 base runners for the season and 41.0% of those runners earned a run for their team. The bullpen have a total of 69 holds this season (23rd in MLB). Nationals relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 149 times in addition to having 152 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 34 saves on the season and have missed out on 36 out of their 70 save opportunities. The Nationals relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 48.6% and have come into the game in 144 save situations.

The Washington Nationals have accounted for 3,834 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,307 assists and 95 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .982 which has them sitting 30th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 120 double plays. The Nationals have converted 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 11,502 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 17th in professional baseball.

Dion has thrown 19 innings and has earned 25 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.69 (10 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.406. He has conceded 24 base hits (11.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 3 free passes. Dion (0-0 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.62 while he has gone up against 85 hitters during his time in the majors.

The San Diego Padres have compiled a team on-base percentage of .314 as well as a batting average of .236 for the season. They have been rung up on 1,157 occasions (21st in the league) and have 1,105 base hits. San Diego has accumulated 155 long balls for the year to go along with 576 RBIs. The Padres have a team SLG% of .385 and they are earning 4.21 runs per contest (22nd in the league). They have recorded 204 two-baggers, while taking a walk 493 times and notching 598 runs.

The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 591 runs for the season while having an ERA of 3.92 (548 earned runs given up). They have surrendered 156 dingers and they relinquish 4.23 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball). The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.291 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.17 as a staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.30 (1,153 strikeouts against 484 free passes). They rank 12th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,139.

San Diego bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.1% of 225 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 160 times in high leverage situations and on 138 occasions with runners on base. With 146 save situations, the Padres have 85 holds and 18 blown saves. They sit at 11th in MLB with a save rate of 69.0%, and they have dispatched 478 relievers onto the diamond over the course of the season.

Out of their 11,316 innings on the diamond, the Padres are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (11th in baseball). The San Diego Padres have gotten 115 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (5th in the majors). The Padres have racked up 1,259 assists, 60 errors and have earned 3,772 putouts this season.

Vasquez (22-22 career win-loss record) has a 4.07 ERA while surrendering 9.2 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.88 and he has faced 1,702 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed 179 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.355 and having a FIP of 4.0. In his pro baseball career, Vasquez has surrendered 403 base knocks and he has 252 strikeouts in 396 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-160)

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