Calgary Stampeders vs Toronto Argonauts Week 15 CFL Picks & Predictions 9/20/2019

Friday, September 20, 2019

BMO Field

Bo Levi Mitchell and the Calgary Stampeders (8-4, 2nd in the Western Conference) head to BMO Field on Friday where they'll take on the Toronto Argonauts (2-9, 4th in the Eastern Conference). Calgary opens this game as 4.5 point favorites. The over/under is set at 54.

The Stampeders have been a dicey play for wagerers, having gone 5-7 ATS. Toronto covers the spread 50.0% of the time, going 5-5 against the spread. The Stampeders have been a bad pick for CFL bettors as favorites, going 1-6 ATS. Toronto has gone 5-5 against the spread as an underdog, so they cover 50.0% of the time.

Valuable Calgary Stampeders Betting Trends

The Stampeders have been a less than ideal Over choice for O/U football wagerers, having gone 5-7.

The Stampeders cover 60.0% of the time as the road team, having gone 3-2 ATS.

Important Toronto Argonauts Betting Trends

The Argonauts cover 40.0% of the time at BMO Field, going 2-3 against the spread.

The Argonauts have been an inconsistent Under choice for O/U football wagerers, having gone 6-5.

Key Calgary Stampeders Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Toronto Argonauts Injuries

07/10/19 QB James Franklin Hamstring is out indefinitely
06/17/19 QB Zach Collaros Head is out indefinitely

The Calgary Stampeders come into this game with a record of 8-4 for this season. They currently sit at 2nd in the Western Conference. They are one of the dangerous teams in the conference and they have the ability to run the score up on teams. For total yardage, they sit in 3rd in the Western Conference and 4th in the CFL with 4,316 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Stampeders currently have a total of 18 passing touchdowns and 8 rushing touchdowns. They are one of top scoring teams in the league averaging 27.2 points per game, putting them 3rd in the CFL. As a team, they are averaging 78.8 rushing yards per contest which is 5th in the Western Conference, and they are currently ranked 2nd in the Western Conference for passing yards per game with 280.9.

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The Stampeders have one of the middle tier defenses in the CFL giving up 22 points per game, which has them at 3rd in the conference and 4th in the CFL. When it comes to yards through the air, the Stampeders have conceded 3,095 yards over the period of 12 games. This comes out to an average of 257.9 yards per game, ranking them 5th in the CFL and 5th in the Western Conference. Opponents are completing 73.7% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.43 yards per try. They have allowed 13 passing touchdowns and 9 rushing touchdowns. In terms of yards on the ground, Calgary is allowing 91.1 yards per game ranking them 2nd in the West and 2nd in the league. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.39 yards per rush putting them 1st in the West and 1st in the CFL overall. Overall, they have allowed 1,093 rushing yards through 12 games.

The Argonauts head into this game 2-9 and they sit in 4th in the Eastern Conference. Toronto hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 72.5 yards per game, which has them at 9th in the CFL. As a team, they have a total of 797 yards rushing through 11 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Toronto Argonauts average 369.6 yards per contest overall ranking them 3rd in the CFL and 2nd in the East. When looking at their ability to score points, the Argonauts are currently ranked 3rd in the Eastern Conference and 8th out of the nine teams in the CFL averaging 20.4 points per game. During the season thus far, the Argonauts have passed the ball for a total of 3,269 passing yards which breaks down to 297.2 passing yards per contest ranking them 2nd in the league.

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The Toronto Argonauts are conceding 33.2 points per contest ranking them 4th in the conference and 9th in the league. When talking about points given up, they have allowed 365 points in total. When talking about yards on the ground, they are conceding 125.4 yards per game which puts them at 9th in the CFL and 4th in the Eastern Conference. This year, they have allowed 1,379 yards rushing and 15 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the worst units in the CFL. They are conceding 315 passing yards per game and 3,465 total yards through the air. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Argonauts are currently ranked 4th in the East. They have conceded 21 passing TDs this season.

Who will win tonight's Stampeders/Argonauts CFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Stampeders -4.5

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