Expert Football Picks for the Weekend from Handicapper Ivey Walters
by Ivey Walters - 11/28/2014
Sharp money has come in on two games that I had circled when the opening lines came out earlier in the week. In college football, Old Dominion opened as a five-point underdog at Bookmaker, but the line is now down to three. I still think there is plenty of value on the Monarchs as we still catch the key number of three with a team who has everything to play for. The Arizona Cardinals also brought in early sharp money, opening as a 1.5-point favorite, and the line now stands at 2.5. The Cardinals still pose plenty of value, in my opinion, laying less than a field goal in a game where Arizona can certainly get the job done at the current price. Staying on key numbers is essential to winning in football, and that's what I am doing this week. All picks use Doc's Sports Unit Betting System for money management.
5-Unit College Football Game of the Week: Old Dominion +3 over Florida Atlantic
If there's one thing Old Dominion can do, it's put points on the board. They are averaging 32 points and over 434 yards a game. I love a team that can score when I am catching points, especially on the key number of three. Quarterback Taylor Heinicke is the best in the Sun Belt conference, and last week Louisiana Tech head coach Skip Holtz said he is the best QBs his team has faced. He's thrown for over 3,000 yards and 27 touchdowns, giving Old Dominion a huge advantage at the most important position in football.
I get the better quarterback and a huge motivational edge with the Monarchs trying to become bowl eligible in their first season as an FBS school. Florida Atlantic at 3-8 doesn't have much to play for and may be a bit deflated after losing in the closing seconds a week ago to Middle Tennessee State. Florida Atlantic simply won't be able to keep up on the scoreboard as they are ranked 92nd in both points and yards allowed per game. Their defense has been getting gashed, and I think the high-flying offense of the Monarchs will be able to move the ball with ease. The Florida Atlantic defense is giving up 6.1 yards per play and 5.5 yards per rush, ranking them near the bottom of the FBS in both categories.
I love the fact that I am getting what I believe to be the better team, better quarterback and three points to boot, a combination I absolutely love. I think Old Dominion rides the momentum of their biggest win of the season against first-place Louisiana Tech to an outright victory.
5-Unit NFL Game of the Week: Arizona Cardinals -2.5 over Atlanta
Despite losing a tough game to Seattle a week ago, Arizona is still on a monster ATS run of 15-4-1 over the last two years. I expect them to bounce back in big time fashion against an Atlanta team who is just simply overmatched. Arizona has the corners to take away the big play ability of Julio Jones, who scored his first touchdown last Sunday in a home loss to Cleveland.
Quarterback Drew Stanton struggled a bit last week against the vaunted Seattle defense, but he has done a nice job filling in for the injured Carson Palmer. I think the Arizona offense will be able to move the ball against a defense in Atlanta that is ranked dead last in the NFL in yards allowed. They have been decimated by injuries on the defensive side of the ball, and that bodes well for the inexperienced Stanton.
Arizona's pass rush could pose problems for the Atlanta offensive line, which has struggled at times throughout the season, leading to turnovers that the opportunistic Cardinals have been able to turn into points. The Cardinals ranked third in the NFL in turnover margin, and that is a huge key to winning games on the road. We also catch the Cardinals in a spot where they are not playing an early 10 a.m. PST start, with this one set to kick at 1 p.m. PST. Arizona also has a huge coaching advantage as Bruce Arians is definitely a candidate for Coach of the Year. I think he will have the division-leading Cardinals ready for a big, bounce-back win as a cheap favorite in Atlanta.
Great offer! Doc's Sports has been a leader in NFL handicapping for more than four decades, and we are offering new clients $60 in free picks for any NFL handicapper on Doc's Sports Web site. You cannot afford to miss out on this great offer - click here. Also, get three handicappers for the price of one when you sign up for a full-season football package! Click Here for details.
Get all of this Weeks Free College Football Picks
Get all of this Weeks Expert College Football Picks