Arizona vs Oregon NCAA Football Picks & Predictions 11/16/2019
Saturday, November 16, 2019
Khalil Tate and the Arizona Wildcats are headed to Autzen Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on the Oregon Ducks. Arizona opens this contest as 25.5-point underdogs. The Wildcats are 2-6-1 ATS and 6-3-0 when betting on the total. The Ducks are 4-5-0 when wagering on the over/under and 5-4-0 against the spread.
In their last contest, the Arizona Wildcats played the Oregon State Beavers and took the defeat by a score of 56-38. Running the show from under center for the Wildcats was Grant Gunnell who went 19/29 with 269 yards through the air and completed 2 TD's. He ended the game with no interceptions. J.J. Taylor paced the team on the ground in the game. He broke a long run for 12 yards and he added 2 touchdowns in the game. He scurried for 78 yards on 21 carries which meant he was running for 3.7 yards per run. J.J. Taylor was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 89 yards on 7 catches. He notched an average of 12.7 yards per reception in the game. The Wildcats ended up running the ball 47 times and totaled 148 yards earning them an average of 3.1 yards per rush. For the contest, the Wildcats had a total of 33 1st downs and they had 5 penalties for 65 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. For the game, they totaled 88 plays which gave them a total of 526 yards. When discussing the defense, Arizona gave up 20 catches on 26 throws for a total of 328 yards, and a completion percentage of 76.9%. For the game, they allowed 572 yards but went the whole game without forcing a turnover. On the ground, the Wildcats gave up 244 yards on 42 carries which is an average of 5.8 yards per carry allowed.
The Wildcats head into this matchup 4-5 for 2019. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 32.9 points per game, putting them 42nd in the country. As a unit, they are averaging 196.4 yards on the ground per game which is 2nd in the Pac-12. For total yardage, they rank 2nd in the conference and 15th in the country with 4,462 yards. The Wildcats have one of the most lackluster defenses in the country, allowing 37.3 points per game ranking them 12th in the Pac-12. When it comes to passing yards, the Wildcats have allowed 2,694 yards. Teams are completing 64% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.9 yards per attempt. In terms of yards rushing, Arizona is allowing 169.1 yards per contest which has them at 9th in the conference and 76th in the country. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.8 yards per rush which has them at 10th in the conference and 97th in the nation overall. Overall, they have conceded 1,522 yards rushing through 9 games.
In their last game, the Oregon Ducks played the USC Trojans and won by a score of 56-24. Travis Dye paced the team on the ground for that contest. He tore off a long run of 16 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He ran for a total of 75 yards via 12 carries which had him averaging 6.3 yards per tote. Juwan Johnson led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 106 yards on 7 catches. He averaged 15.1 yards per catch for that contest. Running the show from under center for the Ducks was Justin Herbert who went 21/26 with 225 yards through the air and completed 3 touchdowns. He tossed 1 interception during the game. The Ducks ran the ball 34 times and added 139 yards which had them averaging 4.1 yards per run. In the game, they ran 63 plays for a total of 405 yards. Overall, the Ducks earned a total of 30 first downs and they totaled 12 infractions for 157 yards which shows us how undisciplined this team can be. When it comes to their defensive performance, Oregon gave up 32 completions on 57 attempts totaling 264 yards, and a completion percentage of 56.1%. In the running game, the Ducks gave up 91 yards on 25 tries which gave them an average of 3.6 yards per rushing attempt allowed. Overall, they conceded a total of 355 yards and earned 4 turnovers.
The Ducks head into this matchup 8-1. In discussing the offensive production, the Ducks have one of the most prolific offenses in D-1. Oregon has made teams respect their running game by averaging 188.2 rushing yards per game, ranking them 43rd in Division 1. As a team, they have compiled a total of 1,694 yards rushing through 9 contests, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. The Ducks average 463 yards per contest overall putting them 24th in D-1 and 3rd in the Pac-12. The Ducks are conceding 15.8 points per game which puts them at 2nd in the Pac-12 and 10th in D-1. When it comes to points allowed, they have allowed 142 points in total. In discussing yards on the ground, they are conceding 102.2 yards per contest ranking them 13th in college football and 2nd in the conference. For 2019, they have given up 920 yards on the ground and 2.7 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre groups in college football. They are conceding 213.3 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Ducks sit in 2nd in the Pac-12 Conference.
Who will win tonight's Wildcats/Ducks college football game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Wildcats +25.5
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