Colorado State vs Fresno State NCAA Football Picks & Predictions 10/26/2019

Saturday, October 26, 2019

Bulldog Stadium

Patrick O'Brien and the Colorado State Rams head to Bulldog Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on the Fresno State Bulldogs. Colorado State opens this game as 13.5-point dogs. The Rams are 4-3-0 ATS and 3-4-0 when betting on the total. The Bulldogs are 4-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-3-1 against the spread.

The last time they took the field, the Colorado State Rams went up against the New Mexico Lobos and earned the win by a score of 35-21. Marvin Kinsey Jr. led the team in rushing for that game. He broke a long run for 14 yards and he tallied 2 TD's in the game. He ran for a total of 85 yards on 25 carries which had him averaging 3.4 yards per carry. Warren Jackson led the team in receiving yardage by earning 214 yards on 9 receptions. He notched an average of 23.8 yards per reception for that game. Running the show from under center for the Rams was Patrick O'Brien who went 25/34 with 420 yards through the air and added 3 touchdowns. He ended the game without an interception. The Rams ran the ball 38 times and added 131 yards earning them an average of 3.4 yards per carry. Overall, the Rams racked up 23 first downs and they totaled 10 penalties for 117 yards which shows us that this team didn't have their heads in this game. For the game, they ran 72 plays for a total of 551 yards. When discussing the defense, Colorado State gave up 8 catches on 17 attempts totaling 89 yards, and a completion percentage of 47.1%. Against the run, the Rams gave up 256 yards on 49 runs which means they had an average of 5.2 yards per rushing attempt allowed. Overall, they gave up 345 yards and forced 3 takeaways.

The Rams come into this matchup with a record of 2-5 in 2019. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the country with an average of 29.6 points per contest, ranking them 65th in Division 1. As a team, they are averaging 151 rushing yards per game which is 7th in the conference. For total yards, they currently sit at 1st in the MWC and 26th in Division 1 with 3,291 yards. The Rams have one of the most lackluster defenses in D-1, allowing 34.3 points per contest putting them 8th in the conference. When it comes to yards through the air, the Rams have conceded 2,234 yards. Opponents are completing 57.6% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.0 yards per attempt. When talking about yards on the ground, Colorado State is allowing 221 yards per game ranking them 11th in the MWC and 121st in the country. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.2 yards per rush ranking them 10th in the MWC and 114th in D-1 overall. Overall, they have allowed 1,547 rushing yards through 7 games.

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In their last game, the Fresno State Bulldogs took on the UNLV Runnin' Rebels and notched a win by a score of 56-27. Running the show from under center for the Bulldogs was Jorge Reyna who went 16/23 with 229 yards passing and added 1 TD. He finished the game without throwing an interception. Jalen Cropper paced the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 82 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He scurried for 91 yards on 2 carries which gave him an average of 45.5 yards per carry. Keric Wheatfall was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 86 yards on 4 catches. He earned an average of 21.5 yards per catch for the game. The Bulldogs ended up running the ball 36 times and racked up 260 yards which gave them an average of 7.2 yards per rush. On the day, the Bulldogs earned a total of 21 1st downs and they had a total of 5 penalties for 40 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. In all, they ran 59 plays which added up to 489 yards. In terms of defense, Fresno State gave up 16 catches on 34 tries for a total of 257 yards, and a completion percentage of 47.1%. For the game, they gave up 414 yards and forced 5 takeaways. In the running game, the Bulldogs gave up 157 yards on 40 tries which gave them an average of 3.9 yards per run allowed.

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The Bulldogs come into this matchup with a record of 3-3. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Bulldogs have one of the best offenses in college football. Fresno State is making teams consider moving more up into the box by averaging 163.3 yards on the ground per contest, ranking them 68th in the country. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 980 yards rushing through 6 contests, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. The Bulldogs average 403.5 yards per contest overall putting them 71st in college football and 5th in the MWC. The Bulldogs are allowing 29.3 points per contest which puts them at 6th in the MWC and 82nd in D-1. In terms of points given up, they have given up 176 points in total. In discussing yards on the ground, they are conceding 155.8 yards per contest ranking them 66th in Division 1 and 9th in the Mountain West. This year, they have conceded a total of 935 yards on the ground and 10.2 rushing TDs. Their pass defense is one of the middling units in college football. They are conceding 214.5 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Bulldogs are currently ranked 6th in the Mountain West.

Who will win tonight's Rams/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rams +13.5

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