Free Picks and Predictions for August 30 and 31 from Handicapper Doug Upstone
It's a big college football weekend coming, and we have a boatload of free picks for you. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our college football free picks and predictions (102-75-3 of late) to see what we are thinking about today. See you back here next week.
CFB - (153) MASSACHUSETTS at (154) RUTGERS 7:15 ET BTN (side and total)
This is hard to swallow if you follow the college football odds, but Rutgers, lowly freakin' Rutgers, has been taken from -11 to -16. The only observation one could make is UMass is really awful for the Scarlet Knights to jump that high as a favorite. That could be very true as the Minutemen will have one of the least experienced teams in the FBS, and it's not like they were even close to average previously. Let's agree with the betting public and wise guys and take Rutgers. The total has come down from 57 to 54.5, but I'll say there is enough bad defense to go "Over" the total.
Betting Trend - 80% backing Rutgers, 59% on Under
Doug's Doc's Take - Rutgers covers, Lean Over
CFB - (157) PURDUE at (158) NEVADA 9:30 ET CBSSBN
Tricky line movement here as Purdue was pounded from -8 to -11 at Nevada. We know Boilers coach Jeff Brohm will come up with offensive solutions. And if his quarterback can improve accuracy, the weapons on the perimeter are special. Nevada is adding new elements on offense to increase diversity but returns only 11 starters and has a new quarterback. If I thought Purdue's defense was really going to be better, they could be worth a look, but hopping past the key number of 10 it's the Wolfpack or pass here.
Betting Trend - 56% backing Purdue
Doug's Doc's Take - Lean Nevada covers
CFB - Saturday - (175) OLE MISS at (176) MEMPHIS 12:00 ET ABC (side and total)
I, like many, were shocked to see Ole Miss as +6.5 point underdog at Memphis. Yes, the Rebels are not talented by SEC standards, but they still have SEC athletes, just not great football players. Memphis has the offense to score a vast number of points as they are averaging more than 40 points a game the last four years. However, bettors are seeing what I am and have lowered the college football odds on the Rebels two and a half points to +4.5. Though Mississippi has weaknesses, Memphis is 7-22 ATS as a home favorite of seven points or less. As far as the total dipping from 68 to 65, I don't see enough defense on either squad and really like the Over.
Betting Trend - 57% backing Memphis, 53% on Over
Doug's Doc's Take - Ole Miss covers and Over
CFB - Saturday - (185) NORTHWESTERN at (186) STANFORD 4:00 ET FOX
Both these universities of truly higher learning have retooling to do in football. The thinking here is the offense might have problems finding the end zone or pushing the ball deep into the red zone, and the total has sunk from 50 to 47.5. I was in agreement the total did seem a touch high, and the line move has made it virtually spot on. The last few years, both Northwestern and Stanford have gotten off to shaky starts offensively, and that could be the case in Palo Alto Saturday afternoon leading to an Under choice.
Betting Trend - 76% backing Under
Doug's Doc's Take - Lean Under
CFB - Saturday - (205) MISSOURI at (136) WYOMING 7:30 ET CBSSN
Missouri lost Drew Luck at quarterback, but they convinced Clemson transfer Kelly Bryant that Columbia was a great landing spot. The Tigers closed the regular season 5-1. And with 13 starters returning and adding Bryant, Missouri believes this should be a successful campaign. Those placing football picks agree and have elevated Mizzo from -14 to -17.5. Hard to argue the logic with the Tigers 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS handing out 10 or more points.
Betting Trend - 84% backing Missouri
Doug's Doc's Take - Missouri covers
CFB - Saturday - (207) OREGON vs. (208) AUBURN 7:30 ET ABC (side and total)
The marquee matchup of Week 1 is the Ducks and Tigers. One could make the case the teams are coming from similar positions, but because the SEC is thought to be superior, Auburn opened as a 6.5-point favorite. This is a classic battle of Oregon's exceptional offensive line vs. the Tigers' always outstanding defensive line. Why the Ducks have drawn support is the quarterback position, with the Ducks having Heisman hopeful Justin Herbert going up against Auburn's Bo Nix. This has Oregon now down to +4. The Ducks have the offense to keep this close, and I'll call for a three-point outcome either way. The total crumbling three digits to 55 also works, take the Under.
Betting Trend - 53% backing Oregon, 55% on Under
Doug's Doc's Take - Oregon covers and Under
Public Consensus Record (2019) - 51% to 79% - 168-157-6 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2019) - 80% or Higher - 51-57-1 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2019) - 210-206-7 ATS
Doug Upstone is the newest handicapper at Doc's Sports and he brings years of experience with him. Doug has 21 documented No. 1 titles and finished in the Top Ten 80 other times in a distinguished career. Doug as a professional handicapper/writer, has written for various well-known sports betting websites and several of the football newsletters you have read before.
Doug excited about football this season (6* Utah winner Thursday) coming off a 2018 monitored record of 65-43 ATS, 60.2 percent ($500 bettors up $6,660 profit) in college football and 2018 NFL record of 50-34, 59.4% ($500 bettors up $6,100 profit). He might be the new guy, but our experience says he's ready to deliver Big Profits. Check out Doug's Winning Plays! Click Here
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