Virginia Cavaliers vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction, 10/25/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Virginia Cavaliers vs North Carolina Tar Heels

Date: Saturday, October 25, 2025

Location: Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill, NC

TV: ACC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Tar Heels (+10.5)

Total/Over-Under: 52

The North Carolina Tar Heels (2-4) will play the Virginia Cavaliers (6-1) at Kenan Stadium on Saturday, October 25, 2025. North Carolina opens as 10.5-point dogs. The betting total comes in at 52.

The Virginia Cavaliers head into this game 6-1 this year. In their last matchup, the Cavaliers played the Washington State Cougars and walked away with a win by a score of 22-20. In all, they had 57 plays for 301 yds. The Virginia Cavaliers ran the ball 32 times and accumulated 122 yards, which had them averaging 3.8 yards per carry. When it came to stopping the run, the Cavaliers conceded 135 yds on 35 attempts, which averages out to 3.9 yards per rush allowed. Virginia gave up 18 completions on 27 tries for 183 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.7%.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Virginia Cavaliers have an average of 40.0 points per contest. As a team they have an average of 203.9 yards rushing ranking them 26th in college football. The Cavaliers have tallied 3,236 total yards this season. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Virginia has earned 12 touchdowns via the pass and 20 touchdowns on the ground. Virginia has earned 160 first downs as a team, and they have committed 40 penalties for 318 yds. They have turned the ball over 5 different times.

The Cavaliers sit in 61st in the nation regarding team defense, allowing 23.3 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.7 yards per rush and 120.9 rushing yards per game for the season. For the season, they have allowed 846 rushing yards through 7 contests. Regarding yards through the air, the Cavaliers have conceded 1,623 yards which ranks them 95th in D-1. They have given up 231.9 yards per contest through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 63.1%. In total, they are surrendering 352.7 yards per outing which ranks them 55th in D-1. They have allowed 9 touchdowns through the air as well as 12 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Tar Heels come into this game with a record of 2-4 for this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Tar Heels took a defeat with a final score of 21-18 against the California Golden Bears. The Tar Heels finished the game with a total of 287 yds while they ran 64 plays (4.5 yds per play). North Carolina rushed the football for 4.1 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 120 yards on 29 attempts. North Carolina surrendered 31 run attempts for 80 yds (2.6 yds per carry). The Tar Heels pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 55.0%, surrendering 214 yds on 22 for 40 through the air.

In relation to the points being put on the board, the Tar Heels currently sit 124th in Division 1 by scoring 18.7 points per game. The North Carolina Tar Heels are averaging 267.7 yards per contest, which ranks them 133rd in D-1. The North Carolina offense has racked up 301 yds of penalties on 29 violations, which has them sitting 124th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 4 interceptions while surrendering 5 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 92 1st downs. For the season thus far, the Tar Heels have a total of 975 yards via the pass together with holding an average of 162.5 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 122nd in D-1. They maintain an average of 105.2 yards per game via the ground game and have toted the ball for 631 yards for this year.

North Carolina has given up a total of 715 yards via the ground game (119.2 yards/game) as well as 7 touchdowns via the rush this season. They have conceded 9 touchdowns through the air and 240.8 yards/contest, which has them ranked 98th in the country. Overall, they have surrendered 150 total points. They have totaled 3 fumbles recovered and 4 interceptions on the year. The Tar Heels defense has been on the field for 413 plays, which is good for 19th in the country. The Tar Heels are relinquishing 25.0 points per game, ranking them 74th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Cavaliers/Tar Heels college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Cavaliers -10.5

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