2019 NBA Three-Point Contest Odds and Expert Betting Predictions
With celebrities and NBA All-Stars set to converge on Charlotte this coming weekend, I'm going to try my hardest not to get caught up in all the glitz and glamour of All-Star Weekend. Instead, I'm going to try and turn a profit, much like I've done throughout the first half of the NBA season. The first event I have my eye on is this year's Three-Point Contest.
A field of eight sharpshooters enters this year's contest, including the reigning and defending champion Devin Booker. In last year's event, Booker went off for 28 points - a new contest record. He bested one-half of the splash brothers in Klay Thompson and will now look to defend his title against another seven of the league's top snipers.
In my honest opinion, this year's competition may very well be the best event on the All-Star Weekend schedule. You have a young and brash defending champion, you have the best three-point shooter in the game, Steph Curry, Curry's brother, Seth, a legend in Dirk Nowitzki, two high-profile point guards in Kemba Walker and Damian Lillard, and a player who's turned his game around completely in Buddy Heild.
The field for this event is comprised of Steph Curry (+275), Buddy Heild (+325), Devin Booker (+450), Seth Curry (+550), Joe Harris (+600), Damian Lillard (+750), Danny Green (+800), Khris Middleton (+1000), Kemba Walker (+1000), Dirk Nowitzki (+1500).
All odds are courtesy of our friends at Bovada
Steph Curry (+275) and Devin Booker (+450)
Don't shoot the messenger, but Steph Curry changed the way the game is played. Teams no longer dish the ball inside and let the big men go to work. Instead, they build their team with perimeter shooters and live and die by the long ball. Curry is widely accepted as the greatest three-point shooter in history, and he's still playing. That tells you all you need to know. Curry comes into this event shooting 44.9 percent from beyond the arc, which is better than his career average of 43.7 percent. What makes Curry even more dangerous in this event is that he's won it before, so he will know how to prepare in order to give himself the best chance at winning it again.
With all due respect to the second favorite, Heild, I believe the defending champion should be mentioned amongst the favorites for the obvious reason - he's already won this event. Booker comes into this event shooting a lousy 32.9 percent from beyond the arc. However, in a contest where 'getting hot' at the right time can lead you to victory, Booker can do just that (case in point, last year's event). Booker already knows how to win this event, and I feel as if he has a chip on his shoulder and something to prove considering he plays for Phoenix.
Joe Harris (+600) and Danny Green (+800)
Let's start with Danny Green - the new Raptor has fit into his newest surroundings well this season, shooting 42 percent from beyond the arc, which is well up from his career average of 39 percent. He should have the experience, being in his 10th NBA season, so he understands how to make the most of this opportunity and potentially win this event. We like the long-shot odds of 8/1, and there is nothing wrong with taking a flyer on a likely scarcely bet player.
As for Joe Harris, he doesn't quite fit the model of an NBA player as he has no real fan base considering he plays for the Brooklyn Nets. However, Harris is quietly stroking the ball this season, shooting 46.5 percent from beyond the arc, which is good enough for third in the entire NBA. If there was any indication that Harris is ready to break out and compete toe-to-toe with the likes of Curry and Booker, it's when Harris drained seven triples on just eight attempts on Monday versus the Raptors.
Dirk Nowitzki (+1500)
Why not go with the future Hall of Famer in this spot? Dirk has been on the farewell tour the entire season, and what could be more fitting than to hang up the sneakers with winning a contest on NBA All-Star Weekend amongst your peers (aside from winning a Championship).
Look, Dirk isn't what he used to be in terms of his ability, but he can still shoot the ball well. He's shooting just 32.5 percent from beyond the arc this season, but that's his lowest output since his rookie season. If Dirk can find it within himself to turn back the clock for one night, I believe Dirk could be a potential dark horse in this competition.
The Warriors are going to win the NBA Title once again this year, and we don't really see a way that Steph Curry loses this event. He is the hottest and most prolific shooter of this generation, and getting open looks at the basket for 25 attempts seems to fit right into his game. We don't like the price of +275, but the price doesn't matter when you are cashing your ticket and receiving funds. Take Curry in this spot, and perhaps a sprinkle on Nowitzki if you are feeling nostalgic.
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