Dayton vs Colorado NCAA Basketball Picks & Predictions 12/21/2019

Game: Dayton Flyers vs Colorado Buffaloes

Date: Saturday, December 21, 2019

Location: United Center in Chicago, IL

TV: CBSS

Odds/Point Spread: Colorado +3.5

Total/Over-Under: 141

The Dayton Flyers travel to United Center to play the Colorado Buffaloes on Saturday, December 21, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Dayton as 3.5 point favorites.

Dayton comes into this game with an overall record of 9-1. They currently have a point differential of 18.4 as they are averaging 84.8 points per game while giving up 66.4 per contest. Colorado has an overall record of 9-2. They are averaging 68.7 points per game and surrendering 59.7, good for a point differential of 9.0.

Valuable Dayton Flyers Betting Trends

The Dayton Flyers are 6-3-1 against the spread

The Dayton Flyers are 7-3-0 against the over/under

Important Colorado Buffaloes Betting Trends

The Colorado Buffaloes are 3-7-1 against the spread

The Colorado Buffaloes are 5-6-0 against the over/under

Key Dayton Flyers Injuries

12/19/19 F Chase Johnson Illness is questionable
11/11/19 C Moulaye Sissoko Redshirt is out for season

Key Colorado Buffaloes Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Obi Toppin comes into this contest averaging 20.1 points per game while playing 30.9 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 8.1 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.1 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 51% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 75%. Jalen Crutcher averages 12.5 points per game in 32.0 minutes per contest this season. He averages 5.5 assists per contest and 3.0 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 43% for the year while his free throw percentage is 93%.

Player Spotlight

Tyler Bey averages 12.6 points per game while playing 27.1 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 10.1 rebounds per game and has 2.0 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is at 76%. McKinley Wright IV averages 11.3 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 5.0 rebounds per contest and 3.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 40% and his free throw percentage is 74%.

Useful Team Statistics

Dayton averages 84.8 points per contest this season, which ranks them 6th in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 18.4 and their shooting percentage is 54% as a team, which has them ranked 1st. Behind the arc they shoot 40% which is good for 20th in the nation. They average 34.2 rebounds per game and 20.1 assists per game, which ranks them 269th and 1st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 238th with 12.8 per game. The Flyers allow 66.4 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 126th in the country. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the arc, ranking them 224th and 327th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 29.7 rebounds a game which ranks 16th and they give up 10.8 assists per contest, which puts them in 73rd place in Division 1. They force 15.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 237th in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

Colorado is 256th in the country with 68.7 points per game this year. They are 287th in Division 1 in shooting at 41%, while their average scoring margin is 9.0. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 120th in the nation. They are 97th in the NCAA in rebounding with 38.5 boards per game, and 255th in assists per contest with 12.3. The Buffaloes are 52nd in turnovers per game with 15.5. The Buffaloes surrender 59.7 points per contest, which ranks them 24th in D-1. Their defense allows a 39% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 55th and 240th in those defensive statistics. They rank 70th with 10.7 assists allowed per contest and 61st with 32.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Buffaloes are 279th in country in forcing turnovers with 16.2 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Flyers are 1st in the nation in offensive rating with 120.5. In terms of pace they are 225th in the country with 69.5 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 63% is 1st. As a team they are 1st in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 64% and they shoot 3-pointers on 45% of their shots, ranking 39th in Division 1. Dayton is 218th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.2 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Colorado is 43rd in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 19.2 times per 100 possessions. The Buffaloes have an offensive rating of 98.2, which is ranked 253rd. They are 205th in D-1 in pace with 70 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 48% is 270th. As a unit they are 202nd in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shot attempts, ranking 191st in the country.

Who will win tonight's Dayton/Colorado college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Colorado +3.5

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