Mississippi State vs Florida predictions 1/28/20 College Basketball Picks & Tips

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Florida Gators

Date: Tuesday, January 28, 2020

Location: Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center in Gainesville, FL

TV: ESPN, ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Florida -6

Total/Over-Under: 135

The Mississippi State Bulldogs head to Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center to take on the Florida Gators on Tuesday, January 28, 2020. The opening line for this game has Florida as 6 point favorites.

Mississippi State comes into this game with an overall record of 12-7. They currently have a point differential of 7.9 as they are averaging 72.7 points per game while giving up 64.8 per contest. Florida has an overall mark of 12-7. They are averaging 73.3 points per contest and giving up 66.6, which is a point differential of 6.7.

Valuable Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Trends

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 11-7-1 against the spread this season

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 11-8-0 against the over/under this year

Important Florida Gators Betting Trends

The Florida Gators are 8-11-0 against the spread this season

The Florida Gators are 11-8-0 against the over/under this year

Key Mississippi State Bulldogs Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Florida Gators Injuries

12/30/19 C Gorjok Gak Left Team is out for season

Player Spotlight

Reggie Perry comes into this game averaging 16.4 points per contest while playing 29.1 minutes per night this year. He grabs 10.1 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.4 assists per game. His FG percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage is 73%. Tyson Carter averages 13.6 points per contest in 30.5 minutes per game. He averages 3.6 assists per game and 2.6 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 37% for the season while his free throw percentage is 86%.

Player Spotlight

Kerry Blackshear Jr. scores 14.5 points per contest while playing 28.3 minutes per game. He hauls in 8.4 rebounds per contest and has 1.6 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 81%. Keyontae Johnson averages 13.1 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 29.8 minutes per game. He also brings in 6.6 rebounds per game and has 1.2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 53% and his free throw percentage is 76%.

Useful Team Statistics

Mississippi State averages 72.7 points per contest, which is 138th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 7.9 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 73rd. From 3-point territory they shoot 33%, which is good for 202nd in the nation. They average 39.0 boards per contest and 13.4 assists per game, which ranks them 51st and 166th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 111th with 14.1 per game. The Bulldogs allow 64.8 points per contest, which is 68th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 41% shooting percentage and a 31% average from 3-point range, ranking them 121st and 79th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 30.5 rebounds a game which ranks 17th, and they allow 11.7 assists per game which puts them in 117th place in the country. They force 12.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 88th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

Florida is 122nd in the nation with 73.3 points per contest this season. They are 115th in the country in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 6.7. They shoot 33% from beyond the arc, which is good for 201st in the NCAA. They are 108th in D-1 in rebounding with 37.2 boards per contest and 290th in assists per game with 11.6. The Gators are 294th in turnovers per contest with 12.0. The Gators give up 66.6 points per game, which ranks them 112th in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 40% shooting percentage and a 30% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 76th and 68th in those defensive statistics. They rank 99th with 11.6 dimes allowed per game and 94th with 33.3 boards surrendered per contest. The Gators are 136th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 13.1 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Bulldogs have an offensive rating of 109, which is ranked 44th. They are 310th in college basketball in pace with 66.7 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 138th. As a unit they are 101st in the nation in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 30% of their shot attempts, ranking 323rd in D-1. Mississippi State is 108th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.5 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Florida is 285th in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.1 times per 100 possessions. The Gators are 76th in the country in offensive rating with 106.7. In terms of pace they are 266th in Division 1 with 67.9 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 129th. As a team they are 110th in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shots, ranking 230th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Mississippi State/Florida college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Mississippi State +6

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