Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 2/27/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
Date: Saturday, February 27, 2021
Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS
Odds/Point Spread: Alabama (-5)
The Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-11) play the Alabama Crimson Tide (18-6) at Humphrey Coliseum on Saturday. The odds on this matchup have Alabama as 5-point favorites. The total opens at 142.5.
Alabama comes into this contest with a win-loss record of 18-6 so far this year. The Crimson Tide are connecting on 35.9% from downtown (261 of 727) and 71.5% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 80.3 points per outing (29th in Division 1) while going 43.4% from the field. They turn it over 14.3 times per contest and as a unit are committing 19.0 fouls every game. As a team, Alabama is pulling down 40.2 rebounds per game and is sitting with 345 dimes for the campaign, which is 38th in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. On the defensive end, the Crimson Tide are able to force 15.6 turnovers per game and they draw 19.0 personal fouls. They surrender 29.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 202nd in D-1 in PPG allowed (70.9). The Crimson Tide defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 40.7% (606 of 1,490) and they relinquish 38.5 rebounds per contest as a squad. They are currently ranked 193rd in college basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 262 relinquished for the season.
The Alabama Crimson Tide took the court against the Arkansas Razorbacks and took a loss by a score of 81-66 in their last game. Alabama walked away from the contest having earned a 37.7% field goal percentage (26 of 69) and buried 11 of 33 shots from downtown. At the charity stripe, the Crimson Tide made 3 of their 8 attempts for a rate of 37.5%. When talking about pulling down rebounds, they earned 35 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 14 dimes in the matchup while creating 12 turnovers and earning 4 steals. Concerning defending, Alabama let their opponent shoot 46.3% from the field on 25 out of 54 shooting. Arkansas totaled 15 assists and had 4 steals in the matchup. On top of that, Arkansas grabbed 37 rebounds (9 offensive, 28 defensive) and added 11 blocks. Arkansas ended up shooting 62.8% at the charity stripe by burying 27 of their 43 shots. They also buried 4 out of their 14 tries from beyond the perimeter.
Jordan Bruner is a guy who played a role in this matchup. He finished with 14 points on 5 of 14 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 22 minutes and snagged 6 rebounds. Bruner went 35.7% from the field and also recorded 1 assist. An additional guy that was a determining factor in the matchup for the Crimson Tide was John Petty. He had 2 rebounds in his 35 minutes played. He finished 50.0% from the floor for the matchup by going 4-of-8 (12 points). When the game finished, Petty totaled 2 assists.
Mississippi State has a record of 13-11 on the year. The Bulldogs commit 15.9 personal fouls per contest while shooting 65.4% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 13.1 times per game (188th in D-1) and they cough up possession 15.0 times per game. Mississippi State has scored 1,682 pts this season (70.1 per contest) and they collect 38.8 rebounds per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Bulldogs are connecting on 45.5% from the field, which is 106th in the nation. The Bulldogs defensively are ranked 60th in D-1 in PPG surrendered with 65.6. The Mississippi State defense concedes 32.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter (183 of 560) and their opponents are making 75.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They relinquish 13.7 assists and 31.3 rebounds per contest, which ranks 234th and 38th in D-1. They have forced 12.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 40.5% from the floor (43rd in college hoops).
The last time they took the court, the Mississippi State Bulldogs got the victory with a final of 69-48 when they played the South Carolina Gamecocks. The Bulldogs were able to snag 36 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards totaling 46 for this game. They coughed up the ball 21 times, while earning 8 steals in this contest. The Gamecocks were called for 14 personal fouls in this contest which got the Bulldogs to the free throw line for a total of 22 attempts. They were able to knock down 17 of the free throw tries for a rate of 77.3%. In terms of 3-point shots, Mississippi State made 4 out of 12 tries (33.3%). At the conclusion of this game, the Bulldogs finished the game shooting 24 for 51 from the field which had them shooting 47.1%. The Bulldogs permitted the Gamecocks to convert 18 of 62 tries from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 29.0% for this game. They finished the game shooting 19.0% from distance by hitting 4 of 21 and ended up shooting 8 of 11 from the charity stripe (72.7%). In reference to how they cleaned up the glass, Mississippi State allowed South Carolina to grab 21 overall (6 on the offensive glass).
D.J. Stewart pitched in for the Bulldogs for the matchup. He converted 3 out of 5 for the contest for a field goal rate of 60.0%, and had 4 rebounds. Stewart scored 15 points in his 32 minutes of playing time and tallied 5 assists in the game. Someone else that ended up playing a role for Mississippi State was Abdul Ado. He left the arena with no assists in 23 minutes played, and he shot 3 out of 5 from the floor. Ado wrapped this one up going 60.0% from the field and also contributing 11 points and 8 total rebounds.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Mississippi State (+5) and under 142.5 points
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