Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 2/27/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs
Date: Saturday, February 27, 2021
Location: Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA
Odds/Point Spread: Boise State (+6)
Viejas Arena is the site where and the San Diego State Aztecs (18-4) will play the Boise State Broncos (18-5) on Saturday. San Diego State opens this matchup as 6-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 136.5.
Boise State heads into this game with a win-loss mark of 18-5 on the campaign. They average 77.3 pts per contest (61st in the country) while connecting on 46.0% from the floor. The Broncos are connecting on 34.7% on 3-pointers (180 of 519) and 73.5% from the charity stripe. As a team, Boise State is snagging 35.8 boards per contest and has 322 assists for the year, which is 61st in D-1 in terms of passing. They turn it over 11.3 times per contest and as a group are committing 16.9 fouls per game. Defensively, the Broncos are forcing their opponents into 14.9 turnovers every game and they draw 19.2 personal fouls. The Broncos defensively are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 42.6% (552 of 1,297) and they surrender 32.3 rebounds per game as a group. They are ranked 159th in the country in allowing assists to the opposition with 249 surrendered on the year. They are relinquishing 31.4% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 57th in college basketball in PPG allowed (65.5).
The Boise State Broncos stepped onto the hardwood against the Aztecs and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 78-66 in their last game. Boise State ended the game with a 36.4% field goal percentage (24 of 66) and converted 12 of their 40 3-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Broncos converted 6 of their 10 tries for a rate of 60.0%. Regarding rebounding, they earned 28 with 8 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 16 assists in this matchup while creating 16 turnovers and having 4 steals. When talking about defense, Boise State allowed their opponent to shoot 45.0% from the field on 27 out of 60 shooting. San Diego State recorded 8 dimes and had 10 steals for the contest. Moreover, San Diego State snagged 41 rebounds (10 offensive, 31 defensive) and got 2 rejections. San Diego State went 85.7% at the charity stripe by burying 18 of 21 shots. They also knocked down 6 out of their 19 attempts from three-point range.
Derrick Alston is one player who had an impact for this game. He finished with 29 points on 10 of 21 shooting. He played 41 mins and also totaled 2 rebounds. Alston ended up going 47.6% from the field and also distributed 2 dimes. Another guy that was a factor in this matchup for the Broncos was Rayj Dennis. He pulled down 1 rebound in 24 min on the hardwood. He walked away from this one shooting 66.7% from the field in this contest by going 4-of-6 (9 points). When the time ran out, Dennis had accumulated 4 assists.
San Diego State has a record of 18-4 this season. The Aztecs have committed 18.3 personal fouls per game and they shoot 71.4% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 14.3 times per game (106th in Division 1) and they are turning it over 11.8 times per game. San Diego State has totaled 1,653 points on the season (75.1 per game) and they pull down 36.6 boards per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Aztecs are hitting on 46.0% from the floor, which ranks them 83rd in the country. The Aztecs defensively are ranked 6th in the country in points given up per game with 60.1. The San Diego State defense allows 32.9% from downtown (176 of 535) and their opposition knocks down 71.0% of their foul shots. They have conceded 12.9 assists and 31.2 boards on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 168th and 34th in the country. They are forcing 15.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 38.8% from the floor (7th in Division 1).
In their win over Boise State, the Aztecs were able to corral 31 defensive boards and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 41 for the matchup. They coughed up the ball 16 times, while recording 10 steals for this contest. The Broncos earned 21 personal fouls for the contest which got the Aztecs to the charity stripe for a total of 21 attempts. They were able to knock down 18 of them for a rate of 85.7%. In reference to shooting from distance, San Diego State buried 6 out of 19 tries (31.6%). When this game wrapped up, the Aztecs went 27 for 60 from the floor which gave them a rate of 45.0%. The Aztecs allowed the Broncos to make 24 out of 66 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 36.4% in this game. They finished shooting 30.0% from 3-point land by shooting 12 of 40 and finished the contest at 6 of 10 from the free throw line (60.0%). In reference to rebounding, San Diego State permitted Boise State to grab 28 in total (8 on the offensive side).
Matt Mitchell ended up being important for the Aztecs for this game. He converted 8 out of 17 in the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 47.1%, and had 9 rebounds. Mitchell tallied 24 points in his 35 mins on the court, but finished this game without an assist. An additional guy who was a determining factor for San Diego State was Trey Pulliam. He finished this one with 2 dimes in 33 mins played, and he knocked down 7 of 14 from the floor. Pulliam wrapped this one up going 50.0% from the field while earning 18 points and 4 rebounds.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take San Diego State (-6) and under 136.5 points
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