San Diego State Aztecs vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, 2/20/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs Fresno State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, February 20, 2021

Location: Save Mart Center in Fresno, CA

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego State (-13.5)

The Fresno State Bulldogs (9-8) host the San Diego State Aztecs (16-4) at Save Mart Center on Saturday. San Diego State opens this game as 13.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 128.5.

San Diego State heads into this matchup with a record of 16-4 for the campaign. The Aztecs are connecting on 38.0% on shots from downtown (183 of 482) and 70.6% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 75.0 points per game (95th in Division 1) while hitting 45.5% from the field. They are turning it over 11.6 times per game and as a unit are committing 18.4 fouls every game. As a unit, San Diego State is snagging 37.0 rebounds per contest and has accumulated 300 dimes so far this year, which ranks 61st in D-1 in terms of passing. On the defensive end of the court, the Aztecs have forced 15.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.5 fouls. The Aztecs defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 38.7% (401 of 1,035) and they concede 31.5 rebounds per contest as a team. They currently rank 226th in college basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 258 relinquished so far this year. They are surrendering 33.5% on shots from beyond the arc and they are ranked 7th in college hoops in opponents points per game (60.0).

The San Diego State Aztecs faced the Bulldogs and earned the victory with a final of 67-53 in their last contest. San Diego State ended the contest having earned a 48.1% field goal percentage (26 out of 54) and made 5 out of their 15 shots from beyond the arc. At the free throw line, the Aztecs buried 10 of 14 tries for a rate of 71.4%. In relation to pulling down boards, they collected 30 with 5 of them being of the offensive sort. They also distributed 8 dimes for the contest while having 7 steals and 3 blocks. Regarding defense, San Diego State let their opponent shoot 48.1% from the floor on 26 of 54 shooting. Fresno State distributed 10 assists and had 6 steals for the game. Moreover, the Bulldogs totaled 34 boards (11 offensive, 23 defensive) and added 3 blocked shots. Fresno State ended up going 73.3% at the charity stripe by making 11 of their 15 attempts. They made 6 out of their 18 attempts from 3-point land.

Matt Mitchell is a player who played a role for this contest. He racked up 19 points on 6 out of 12 shooting. He saw the court for 32 minutes played and also snagged 5 boards. Mitchell went 50.0% from the field but had no assists when the time ran out. Someone else that was a determining factor in this matchup for the Aztecs was Trey Pulliam. He totaled 2 rebounds and had 3 assists. He ended up going 57.1% from the floor for the matchup by hitting 8-of-14 (18 points). When all was said and done, Pulliam played 30 min.

Fresno State has a win-loss mark of 9-8 on the year. The Bulldogs are committing 17.7 personal fouls every game and they connect on 65.0% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 10.2 times per game (334th in college basketball) and they cough up possession 14.8 times per contest. Fresno State has accounted for 1,135 pts on the season (66.8 per game) and they average 37.0 boards per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Bulldogs are connecting on 43.1% from the floor, which has them ranked 235th in college basketball. The Bulldogs on defense are ranked 94th in college basketball in PPG given up with 67.1. They have surrendered 11.2 assists and 32.9 total boards per game, which is 57th and 87th in college hoops. The Fresno State defense gives up 33.4% on shots from distance (124 of 371) and their opponents are knocking down 74.7% of their shots from the charity stripe. They are forcing their opponents into 13.9 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 42.4% from the floor (139th in the nation).

In their loss to SDSU, the Bulldogs earned 23 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive boards for a total of 34 in the matchup. They blocked 2 attempts while earning 6 steals in the game. The Aztecs were called for 18 personal fouls for this contest which got the Bulldogs to the free throw line for 15 attempts. They were able to knock down 11 of them for a percentage of 73.3%. In the matter of three-point shots, Fresno State converted 6 of 18 tries (33.3%). When the final whistle was blown, the Bulldogs ended up shooting 18 for 54 from the field which had them at 33.3%. The Bulldogs permitted the Aztecs to bury 26 of 54 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 48.1% for the matchup. They finished 33.3% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 5 out of 15 and ended up shooting 10 out of 14 at the free throw line (71.4%). In reference to rebounding, Fresno State allowed San Diego State to snag 30 in total (5 on the offensive side).

Orlando Robinson was important for the Bulldogs for the game. He buried 5 out of 12 in this contest for a rate of 41.7%, which had him sitting at 17 points. Robinson totaled 13 boards in his 35 mins played and accounted for 4 assists for the game. One more player who came through for Fresno State was Isaiah Hill. He finished with 11 points in 24 minutes played by going 4 of 10 from the floor in the game. Hill walked away from this one going 40.0% from the field while also earning 2 assists and 3 boards.

Who will win tonight's college basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Fresno State (+13.5)

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