Dayton Flyers vs Cincinnati Bearcats Prediction, 11/11/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dayton Flyers vs Cincinnati Bearcats

Date: Tuesday, November 11, 2025

Location: Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati, OH

TV: ESPN+

The Cincinnati Bearcats (2-0) welcome the Dayton Flyers (2-0) at Fifth Third Arena on Tuesday.

The Dayton Flyers took the court against UMBC and went home with a win by a final score of 77-71 in their last contest. In the matter of personal fouls, the Flyers finished with 11 and UMBC accumulated 17 personal fouls. They converted 11 of their 26 shots from three-point range. UMBC shot 80.0% when shooting free throws by burying 8 of 10 shots. Furthermore, UMBC snagged 27 rebounds (9 offensive, 18 defensive), but didn't have a block. UMBC earned 13 dimes and had 5 steals for the game. When it comes to the defense, Dayton allowed 44.8% from the field on 26 of 58 shooting. They also recorded 15 assists in this matchup while forcing 14 turnovers and earning 10 steals. Regarding pulling down rebounds, they earned 26 with 5 of them being of the offensive sort. From the free throw line, the Flyers buried 19 of 24 shots for a percentage of 79.2%. Dayton wrapped up the contest with a 51.0% field goal percentage (26 out of 51) and knocked down 6 of their 19 3-pointers.

Javon Bennett is someone who came through for the contest. He scored 16 points on 5 of 12 shooting. He played for 36 mins played and also collected 3 rebounds. He finished 41.7% from the floor and also distributed 7 assists.

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Dayton will play this contest with a record of 2-0 so far this season. They are averaging 82.5 points per game (164th in college hoops) while connecting on 52.0% from the floor. The Flyers are shooting 27.9% on three-point shots (12 of 43) and 72.3% from the free throw line. As a team, Dayton is grabbing 30.0 boards per contest and has accumulated 31 dimes for the year, which ranks 203rd in Division 1 in terms of passing. They turn it over 6.5 times per game and as a group are committing 13.0 fouls every game.

On the defensive end, the Flyers are able to force 17.0 turnovers every game while drawing 21.5 personal fouls. They are ranked 136th in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 23 relinquished for the campaign. The Flyers defense is allowing an opponent FG percentage of 40.7% (44 of 108) and they surrender 31.0 rebounds per game as a unit. They are giving up 40.0% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 49th in college in PPG allowed (59.5).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Cincinnati Bearcats got the win with a final of 74-64 when they faced Georgia State. Concerning rebounding, Cincinnati permitted Georgia State to get 31 in total (7 offensive). They finished shooting 30.0% from distance by going 6 of 20 and ended up shooting 16 out of 18 from the free throw line (88.9%). The Bearcats permitted Georgia State to make 21 of 57 attempts from the field which had them shooting 36.8% for the matchup. Overall, the Bearcats finished 25 out of 62 from the field which had them at 40.3%. With regard to shooting from distance, Cincinnati made 7 out of 31 tries (22.6%). They were able to make 17 of those for a clip of 65.4%. Georgia State was called for 22 fouls for the matchup which took the Bearcats to the charity stripe for 26 shots. They also turned it over 15 times, while getting 8 steals in this game. The Bearcats pulled down 26 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 38 for this contest.

Baba Miller was important for the Bearcats for the contest. He scored 24 points in his 30 minutes on the hardwood and had 1 assist for the game. He converted 8 out of 9 in this game giving him a field goal percentage of 88.9%, and had 11 rebounds.

Cincinnati has a record of 2-0 this season. On the offensive side of the court, the Bearcats are hitting on 47.1% from the floor, which ranks 153rd in the nation. Cincinnati has totaled 168 pts this season (84.0 per game) and they pull down 38.0 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 17.5 times per game (110th in college) and they turn it over 15.5 times per game. The Bearcats commit 17.0 personal fouls every game while shooting 66.1% from the charity stripe.

The Bearcats defensively are ranked 89th in college hoops in points given up per game with 63.5. They are forcing 19.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 36.4% from the field (67th in college hoops). The Cincinnati defense surrenders 31.9% on 3-point attempts (15 of 47) and opponents are converting on 75.0% of their free throw shots. They concede 12.5 assists and 36.0 total boards per game, which ranks them 184th and 212th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati

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