Duke Blue Devils vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, 12/6/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Duke Blue Devils vs Michigan State Spartans

Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025

Location: Breslin Center in East Lansing, MI

TV: FOX

The Michigan State Spartans (8-0) will take on the Duke Blue Devils (9-0) at Breslin Center on Saturday.

The Duke Blue Devils faced Florida and took home the win by a score of 67-66 in their last game. Duke walked away from the game with a 44.6% FG percentage (25 out of 56) and knocked down 7 of their 26 3-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Blue Devils converted 10 of 16 tries for a rate of 62.5%. Pertaining to rebounding, they compiled 30 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 13 dimes in the matchup while forcing 12 turnovers and having 7 steals. When discussing the defense, Duke allowed the other team to shoot 37.3% from the floor on 25 out of 67 shooting. Florida dished out 4 assists and had 7 steals for this contest. On top of that, Florida had 38 rebounds (15 offensive, 23 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Florida ended up going 75.0% at the free throw line by converting 9 of their 12 shots. They buried 7 of their 28 attempts from distance. In the matter of fouls, the Blue Devils ended up finishing with 14 and Florida finished the game with 16 fouls.

Cameron Boozer is a guy who was a contributor for the game. He accounted for 29 points on 10 out of 21 shooting. He played for 36 mins played and pulled down 6 rebounds. He ended up going 47.6% from the field and also recorded 2 assists.

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Duke comes into this game with a win-loss mark of 9-0 on the season. They have an average of 89.1 points per game (34th in D-1) while hitting 51.2% from the field. The Blue Devils are shooting 36.0% on shots from downtown (91 of 253) and 71.6% from the free throw line. As a unit, Duke is pulling down 42.0 boards per contest and is sitting with 175 assists on the campaign, which ranks 6th in the country in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession via turnover 10.4 times per game and as a unit they commit 17.0 fouls every game.

On defense, the Blue Devils have forced 14.1 turnovers per game and they draw 19.9 fouls. They relinquish 25.9% on 3-point shots and they are 5th in college hoops in points per game allowed (59.6). The Blue Devils defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 34.4% (191 of 555) and they relinquish 31.8 boards per game as a group. They are 149th in college in allowing assists with 101 surrendered for the year.

In their last game, the Michigan State Spartans walked away with a victory by a final of 71-52 when they played Iowa. When discussing cleaning up the glass, Michigan State permitted Iowa to grab 15 in total (4 on the offensive glass). They finished the game shooting 30.4% from 3-point land by connecting on 7 of 23 and finished the game at 11 of 17 from the free throw line (64.7%). The Spartans allowed Iowa to make 17 of 45 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 37.8% in the game. Overall, the Spartans shot 23 out of 46 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.0%. When discussing shots from 3-point land, Michigan State buried 3 of 12 attempts (25.0%). They were able to make 22 of the free throw tries for a rate of 88.0%. Iowa had 22 personal fouls for this contest which got the Spartans to the free throw line for a total of 25 shots. They also gave up possession of the ball 14 times, while recording 4 steals for this game. The Spartans were able to snag 21 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive boards for a total of 33 in this game.

Coen Carr was important for the Spartans in the game. He recorded 15 points in his 27 mins on the court and totaled 1 assist for the contest. He converted 5 of 8 for the matchup giving him a rate of 62.5%, and totaled 5 rebounds.

Michigan State has a mark of 8-0 for the season. The Spartans are responsible for committing 16.6 fouls every game and they shoot 72.9% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 19.4 times per game (18th in the country) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 11.6 times per game. Michigan State has totaled 629 points so far this year (78.6 per contest) and they pull in 41.6 boards per contest. In terms of offensive execution, the Spartans are shooting 47.4% from the floor, which is 105th in the nation.

The Michigan State defense gives up 28.2% on shots from behind the 3-point line (55 of 195) and their opposition knocks down 71.5% of their free throw shots. They give up 11.3 dimes and 28.1 rebounds every game, which has them ranked 65th and 4th in Division 1. The Spartans on the defensive side of the court are 7th in college in points given up per game with 60.4. They are able to force 12.9 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 38.0% from the field (29th in the country).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Duke

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