Evansville Purple Aces vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction, 12/6/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Evansville Purple Aces vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025

Location: E.A. Diddle Arena in Bowling Green, KY

TV: ESPN+

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (5-2) welcome the Evansville Purple Aces (3-5) at E.A. Diddle Arena on Saturday.

The Evansville Purple Aces faced off with Ball State and took home the win by a score of 64-52 in their last game. In reference to fouls, the Purple Aces ended up finishing with 14 while Ball State finished the game with 19 fouls. They converted 6 of their 24 attempts from long range. Ball State walked away from this one shooting 71.4% from the free throw line by converting 10 of 14 tries. Moreover, Ball State grabbed 26 rebounds (7 offensive, 19 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Ball State recorded 12 dimes and had 10 steals in this game. When talking about defending, Evansville let their opponent shoot 32.1% from the field on 18 out of 56 shooting. They also distributed 15 dimes in this game in addition to creating 14 turnovers and getting 5 steals. When discussing rebounding, they collected 38 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. At the free throw line, the Purple Aces made 14 of 18 attempts for a rate of 77.8%. Evansville wrapped up the game with a 42.3% field goal percentage (22 of 52) and made 6 of 25 3-point attempts.

Connor Turnbull is a guy who was a major factor in this contest. He finished 69.2% from the floor and totaled 3 dimes. He played 29 minutes and also grabbed 10 boards. He scored 21 points on 9 out of 13 shooting.

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Evansville heads into this game with a record of 3-5 on the year. They are losing possession via turnover 12.1 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 17.0 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Evansville is pulling in 32.5 rebounds per game and is sitting with 110 dimes for the campaign, which has them ranked 230th in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. The Purple Aces are connecting on 28.5% on shots from 3-point land (51 of 179) and 70.8% from the charity stripe. They average 69.8 pts per game (313th in college hoops) while hitting 42.8% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Purple Aces are forcing their opponents into 13.0 turnovers per game while drawing 18.5 personal fouls. They currently rank 176th in Division 1 in giving up assists to the opposition with 105 relinquished on the season. The Purple Aces defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 44.1% (198 of 449) and they surrender 34.4 boards per contest as a team. They concede 35.2% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 182nd in college in points per game allowed (73.0).

In their last game, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers got the win with a final of 75-70 when they faced Wichita State. Concerning rebounds, Western Kentucky permitted Wichita State to collect 35 in total (11 on the offensive glass). They shot 30.4% from beyond the arc by going 7 out of 23 and ended up shooting 21 out of 26 at the free throw line (80.8%). The Hilltoppers allowed Wichita State to make 21 out of 57 attempts from the floor which had them at 36.8% for this game. When all was said and done, the Hilltoppers walked away from this one shooting 25 out of 59 from the field which gave them a percentage of 42.4%. With respect to three-point attempts, Western Kentucky made 7 of their 20 tries (35.0%). They were able to knock down 18 of them for a percentage of 78.3%. Wichita State had 20 personal fouls in this contest which took the Hilltoppers to the charity stripe for a total of 23 tries. They also gave up possession of the ball 7 times, while earning 6 steals in this contest. The Hilltoppers pulled down 22 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards totaling 31 for the matchup.

Armelo Boone was important for the Hilltoppers in this matchup. He accumulated 22 points in his 36 mins on the court and had 3 assists in the matchup. He buried 8 of 14 in this matchup for a field goal rate of 57.1%, and tallied 3 rebounds.

Western Kentucky has a mark of 5-2 for the campaign. As an offense, the Hilltoppers are hitting on 44.3% from the floor, which is 237th in the nation. Western Kentucky has tallied 605 points this season (86.4 per game) and they pull in 41.3 rebounds per contest. Their rate of earning assists is at 13.0 times per game (267th in college) and they are giving up possession 11.3 times per game. The Hilltoppers are responsible for committing 20.1 fouls per game and they go 73.2% from the charity stripe.

The Western Kentucky defense surrenders 32.6% on shots from beyond the arc (61 of 187) and opponents are converting on 72.4% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have surrendered 15.6 dimes and 39.7 total rebounds per game, which is ranked 298th and 340th in college. The Hilltoppers defensively are ranked 278th in college hoops in points allowed per game with 78.3. They are forcing their opponents into 15.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 41.0% from the field (100th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Western Kentucky

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